AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 9 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 32 using growth durability 31.5.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 81 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 63 using mean target upside 15.8%; dispersion penalty 20.2; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 83 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 2 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. valuation and technical structure provide support, while fundamentals and market sentiment remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 30.0% above historical median. Valuation is rising — currently in the fair zone (z-score: +0.23). Confidence: 70%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹31.39. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹2,898.24 to ₹5,031.19, with base value near ₹3,168.51 (+131.4% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹31.39
Forward P/E
43.6x
Base Fair Value
₹3,168.51
Fair Range
₹2,898.24 - ₹5,031.19
Upside To Base
+131.4%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+18.5%
5Y Average
134.36
Current
131.26
Overvalued
160.28
Undervalued
92.33
5Y Average
29.28
Current
28.61
Overvalued
38.54
Undervalued
20.61
5Y Average
12.69
Current
11.69
Overvalued
13.78
Undervalued
11.57
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Utilities · Theme: Renewable Energy
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED NTPCGREENRenewable Energy | +62.7% | 18.5% | 147.7x Premium | +114% vs avg | -10.1% |
NHPC LTD NHPCRenewable Energy | +18.5% | 31.1% | 27.9x Undervalued | -60% vs avg | -8.0% |
TATA POWER CO LTD TATAPOWERPower Transmission & Distribution | +5.6% | 6.1% | 31.3x Undervalued | -55% vs avg | -0.6% |
ADANI GREEN ENERGY LTD trades at a premium (132.7x vs peer avg 69.0x), implying higher growth or quality expectations from the Renewable Energy cohort. Peers include NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED, NHPC LTD, TATA POWER CO LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹6.21K CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹-51 CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹-0.31Jun 2026Net margin
1.2%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 691 | 1,917 | 2,089 | 7,304 | 3,343 | 3,887 | 5,922 | 6,461 | 4,789 | 3,947 | 3,355 | 6,249 | 6,206 |
| Expenses + | 697 | 1,922 | 2,000 | 7,177 | 3,215 | 3,583 | 5,147 | 6,157 | 4,584 | 3,526 | 3,210 | 6,080 | 6,134 |
| Operating Profit | -6 | -5 | 89 | 127 | 128 | 304 | 775 | 304 | 205 | 421 | 145 | 169 | 72 |
| OPM % | -0.9% | -0.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 8% | 13% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 11% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Other Income + | 133 | 141 | 415 | 166 | 299 | 273 | 239 | 253 | 196 | 251 | 281 | 190 | 266 |
| Interest | 310 | 364 | 377 | 470 | 482 | 474 | 426 | 368 | 342 | 318 | 317 | 355 | 389 |
| Depreciation | 3 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 23 | 23 | 27 | 30 | 35 |
| Profit before tax | -186 | -241 | 123 | -187 | -75 | 90 | 573 | 171 | 36 | 331 | 82 | -26 | -86 |
| Tax % | 10% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 19% | -10% | 3% | 51% | 6% | -44% | 0% | -150% | -41% |
| Net Profit + | -205 | -259 | 113 | -195 | -89 | 99 | 557 | 83 | 34 | 475 | 82 | 13 | -51 |
| EPS in Rs | -1.29 | -1.64 | 0.71 | -1.23 | -0.56 | 0.62 | 3.52 | 0.52 | 0.21 | 2.88 | 0.50 | 0.08 | -0.31 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation