AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 23 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 0 using growth durability 0.0.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 69 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 46 using mean target upside 9.8%; dispersion penalty 21.5; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 76 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 6 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Mixed. valuation and technical structure provide support, while fundamentals and analyst consensus remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 1.3% below historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the undervalued zone (z-score: +0.06). Confidence: 86%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹16.75. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹505.51 to ₹567.66, with base value near ₹535.66 (+40.2% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹16.75
Forward P/E
22.8x
Base Fair Value
₹535.66
Fair Range
₹505.51 - ₹567.66
Upside To Base
+40.2%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+10.9%
5Y Average
26.13
Current
31.55
Overvalued
33.89
Undervalued
30.18
5Y Average
12.21
Current
14.80
Overvalued
15.02
Undervalued
8.48
5Y Average
3.31
Current
3.09
Overvalued
3.81
Undervalued
2.82
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Utilities · Theme: Power Transmission & Distribution
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TORRENT POWER LTD TORNTPOWERPower Transmission & Distribution | +2.8% | 8.0% | 29.1x Undervalued | -39% vs avg | -1.1% |
POWER GRID CORP. LTD. POWERGRIDPower Transmission & Distribution | +2.7% | 33.8% | 13.2x Undervalued | -72% vs avg | -5.1% |
JSW ENERGY LIMITED JSWENERGYPower Generation | +1.2% | 10.4% | 43.8x Fair | -9% vs avg | +8.4% |
NHPC LTD NHPCRenewable Energy | +18.5% | 31.1% | 27.8x Undervalued | -42% vs avg | -8.0% |
SJVN LTD SJVNRenewable Energy | +52.0% | 12.8% | 41.9x Fair | -13% vs avg | -30.6% |
ADANI GREEN ENERGY LTD ADANIGREENRenewable Energy | +16.6% | 13.1% | 131.8x Premium | +175% vs avg | +47.1% |
TATA POWER CO LTD trades at a discount (31.3x vs peer avg 47.9x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Power Transmission & Distribution cohort. Peers include TORRENT POWER LTD, POWER GRID CORP. LTD., JSW ENERGY LIMITED — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹2.48K CrDec 2025Latest net profit
₹-160 CrDec 2025Latest EPS
₹-0.50Dec 2025Net margin
1.5%Dec 2025Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Dec 2025
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 3,051 | 5,192 | 5,014 | 4,926 | 4,961 | 5,774 | 4,889 | 5,731 | 5,965 | 5,285 | 2,625 | 2,483 |
| Expenses | 2,654 | 4,151 | 3,994 | 4,029 | 4,206 | 4,739 | 3,684 | 4,563 | 4,980 | 4,334 | 2,048 | 2,152 |
| Operating Profit | 94.63 | 751 | 734 | 612 | 427 | 738 | 913 | 862 | 688 | 645 | 294 | 36.88 |
| OPM % | 3.1% | 14.47% | 14.63% | 12.43% | 8.6% | 12.78% | 18.67% | 15.04% | 11.53% | 12.21% | 11.18% | 1.49% |
| Other Income | 635 | 443 | 315 | 601 | 841 | 765 | 808 | 709 | 208 | 521 | 770 | 260 |
| Interest | 569 | 598 | 588 | 533 | 539 | 549 | 525 | 512 | 510 | 497 | 482 | 510 |
| Depreciation | 302 | 290 | 287 | 284 | 328 | 298 | 293 | 306 | 297 | 306 | 283 | 293 |
| Profit before tax | 160 | 597 | 462 | 680 | 729 | 954 | 1,195 | 1,059 | 386 | 669 | 582 | -214 |
| Tax % | 24.55% | 25.23% | 27.03% | 26.37% | -2.47% | 22.73% | 15.62% | 7.68% | -0.06% | 22.24% | 25.92% | 24.93% |
| Net Profit | 121 | 446 | 337 | 501 | 747 | 737 | 1,009 | 978 | 386 | 520 | 431 | -160 |
| EPS in Rs | 0.45 | 1.40 | 1.28 | 1.65 | 2.64 | 2.30 | 3.16 | 3.81 | 1.28 | 1.63 | 1.34 | -0.50 |
All values in Rs. Crore unless otherwise stated. Source: CMIE Prowess, Quarterly Interim Standalone.