AI Summary
✦ ClarthaNTPC Green Energy is an Indian renewable power generator focused on solar and wind projects. Its 17,277-MW portfolio drives generation revenue, while consultancy, project management, and supervision provide supporting service income. Revenue grew 29.8% year-on-year, but profit increased only 9.9%, indicating limited earnings conversion despite stable margins. No substantive operating catalyst is provided beyond the company’s existing project portfolio. ROE is unavailable, preventing a direct return-quality assessment; debt-to-equity of 165.28 materially amplifies financial leverage and potential ROE outcomes. The earnings profile remains mixed, with growth outpacing profit expansion but margins stable. At 148.2 times earnings, the stock appears rich and trades at a substantial premium to its current profit growth. The key open question is whether project commissioning and scale can justify this valuation while containing leverage-related financial risk.
Price Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 7 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 42 using growth durability 42.2.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 90 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 50 using mean target upside 12.0%; dispersion penalty 16.1; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 97 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
This data source has not been supplied for the decision payload.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. valuation and technical structure provide support, while fundamentals and analyst consensus remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 8.9% below historical median. Valuation is declining — currently in the strongly undervalued zone (z-score: -0.96). Confidence: 89%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹2.81. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹433.92 to ₹487.25, with base value near ₹456.99 (+397.4% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹2.81
Forward P/E
32.7x
Base Fair Value
₹456.99
Fair Range
₹433.92 - ₹487.25
Upside To Base
+397.4%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+38.5%
5Y Average
161.52
Current
148.19
Overvalued
173.40
Undervalued
154.42
5Y Average
41.70
Current
38.26
Overvalued
43.42
Undervalued
38.45
5Y Average
4.46
Current
4.15
Overvalued
5.13
Undervalued
3.79
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Utilities · Theme: Renewable Energy
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ADANI GREEN ENERGY LTD ADANIGREENRenewable Energy | +16.6% | 13.1% | 132.2x Premium | +120% vs avg | +47.1% |
NHPC LTD NHPCRenewable Energy | +18.5% | 31.1% | 27.9x Undervalued | -54% vs avg | -8.0% |
SJVN LTD SJVNRenewable Energy | +52.0% | 12.8% | 41.8x Undervalued | -30% vs avg | -30.6% |
ACME SOLAR HOLDINGS LTD ACMESOLARRenewable Energy | +46.8% | 21.1% | 38.1x Undervalued | -36% vs avg | +27.9% |
NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED trades at a premium (148.0x vs peer avg 60.0x), implying higher growth or quality expectations from the Renewable Energy cohort. Peers include ADANI GREEN ENERGY LTD, NHPC LTD, SJVN LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹570 CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹153 CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹0.18Jun 2026Net margin
87.0%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 443 | 500 | 544 | 469 | 461 | 549 | 560 | 461 | 447 | 499 | 570 |
| Expenses + | 49 | 59 | 58 | 70 | 76 | 77 | 79 | 67 | 74 | 81 | 77 |
| Operating Profit | 394 | 441 | 486 | 399 | 385 | 472 | 481 | 394 | 373 | 418 | 494 |
| OPM % | 89% | 88% | 89% | 85% | 83% | 86% | 86% | 86% | 83% | 84% | 87% |
| Other Income + | 17 | 47 | 20 | 23 | 70 | 138 | 71 | 44 | 27 | 34 | 31 |
| Interest | 171 | 172 | 165 | 167 | 164 | 161 | 164 | 150 | 153 | 159 | 155 |
| Depreciation | 157 | 165 | 165 | 164 | 168 | 170 | 167 | 167 | 167 | 167 | 163 |
| Profit before tax | 83 | 150 | 176 | 90 | 123 | 279 | 222 | 121 | 80 | 127 | 206 |
| Tax % | 30% | 31% | 26% | 29% | 27% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 24% | 26% | 26% |
| Net Profit + | 59 | 104 | 131 | 64 | 89 | 205 | 165 | 86 | 60 | 94 | 153 |
| EPS in Rs | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).