AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 28 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 63 using growth durability 63.4.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 39 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 82 using mean target upside 28.7%; dispersion penalty 11.1; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 65 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 10 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. analyst consensus and technical structure provide support, while valuation remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 0.7% above historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the undervalued zone (z-score: +0.11). Confidence: 86%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹28.29. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹278.94 to ₹310.91, with base value near ₹290.82 (-13.5% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹28.29
Forward P/E
11.9x
Base Fair Value
₹290.82
Fair Range
₹278.94 - ₹310.91
Upside To Base
-13.5%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
-1.6%
5Y Average
8.00
Current
10.35
Overvalued
10.99
Undervalued
9.86
5Y Average
5.79
Current
7.49
Overvalued
7.70
Undervalued
3.44
5Y Average
1.77
Current
1.61
Overvalued
2.04
Undervalued
1.51
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Utilities · Theme: Power Generation
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ADANI POWER LTD ADANIPOWERPower Generation | +34.0% | 24.1% | 28.3x Undervalued | -48% vs avg | +78.1% |
SIEMENS ENERGY INDIA LTD ENRINPower Generation | +39.3% | 15.8% | 99.0x Premium | +82% vs avg | +13.4% |
JSW ENERGY LIMITED JSWENERGYPower Generation | +1.2% | 10.4% | 44.1x Undervalued | -19% vs avg | +8.4% |
GAIL (INDIA) LTD GAILGas Distribution | +16.7% | 6.7% | 11.5x Undervalued | -79% vs avg | +0.4% |
NHPC LTD NHPCRenewable Energy | +18.5% | 31.1% | 27.9x Undervalued | -49% vs avg | -8.0% |
ADANI TOTAL GAS LIMITED ATGLGas Distribution | +27.2% | 10.1% | 115.7x Premium | +113% vs avg | +7.9% |
NTPC LTD trades at a discount (10.4x vs peer avg 54.4x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Power Generation cohort. Peers include ADANI POWER LTD, SIEMENS ENERGY INDIA LTD, JSW ENERGY LIMITED — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹43.83K CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹5.34K CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹5.51Jun 2026Net margin
29.0%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 39,122 | 40,875 | 39,455 | 42,538 | 44,428 | 40,337 | 41,369 | 43,904 | 42,572 | 39,167 | 40,644 | 43,109 | 43,832 |
| Expenses + | 28,185 | 30,338 | 29,514 | 31,198 | 32,576 | 30,651 | 29,752 | 32,649 | 32,289 | 29,147 | 28,652 | 37,301 | 31,203 |
| Operating Profit | 10,937 | 10,537 | 9,941 | 11,341 | 11,852 | 9,686 | 11,617 | 11,255 | 10,283 | 10,019 | 11,992 | 5,808 | 12,629 |
| OPM % | 28% | 26% | 25% | 27% | 27% | 24% | 28% | 26% | 24% | 26% | 30% | 13% | 29% |
| Other Income + | 558 | 718 | 2,299 | 2,542 | 626 | 3,119 | 934 | 3,973 | 2,680 | 2,933 | 1,497 | 920 | 942 |
| Interest | 2,515 | 2,465 | 2,783 | 2,488 | 2,649 | 3,108 | 2,203 | 3,097 | 2,838 | 2,662 | 2,275 | 2,667 | 2,359 |
| Depreciation | 3,260 | 3,464 | 3,491 | 3,728 | 3,654 | 3,647 | 3,722 | 4,032 | 3,869 | 3,993 | 4,117 | 4,051 | 4,071 |
| Profit before tax | 5,720 | 5,326 | 5,966 | 7,667 | 6,174 | 6,051 | 6,626 | 8,098 | 6,255 | 6,297 | 7,096 | 10 | 7,140 |
| Tax % | 29% | 27% | 23% | 28% | 27% | 23% | 29% | 29% | 24% | 26% | 30% | -87,373% | 25% |
| Net Profit + | 4,066 | 3,885 | 4,572 | 5,556 | 4,511 | 4,649 | 4,711 | 5,778 | 4,775 | 4,653 | 4,987 | 8,747 | 5,342 |
| EPS in Rs | 4.19 | 4.01 | 4.71 | 5.73 | 4.65 | 4.79 | 4.86 | 5.96 | 4.92 | 4.80 | 5.14 | 9.02 | 5.51 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).