AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 31 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 89 using growth durability 89.3.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 59 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 63 using mean target upside 11.0%; dispersion penalty 11.7; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 50 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 9 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. fundamentals and market sentiment provide support, while technical structure remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 1.3% above historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the undervalued zone (z-score: +0.17). Confidence: 84%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹18.29. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹194.97 to ₹222.41, with base value near ₹208.69 (+20.8% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹18.29
Forward P/E
9.4x
Base Fair Value
₹208.69
Fair Range
₹194.97 - ₹222.41
Upside To Base
+20.8%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+97.2%
5Y Average
9.18
Current
11.56
Overvalued
12.16
Undervalued
10.66
5Y Average
7.14
Current
9.00
Overvalued
9.07
Undervalued
4.60
5Y Average
1.30
Current
1.27
Overvalued
1.50
Undervalued
1.11
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Utilities · Theme: Gas Distribution
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GUJARAT ENERGY LIMITED GUJGASLTDGas Distribution | +21.1% | 8.5% | 961.9x Premium | +387% vs avg | -38.3% |
ADANI TOTAL GAS LIMITED ATGLGas Distribution | +27.2% | 10.1% | 116.1x Undervalued | -41% vs avg | +7.9% |
NTPC LTD NTPCPower Generation | +8.0% | 14.5% | 10.4x Undervalued | -95% vs avg | +0.1% |
NHPC LTD NHPCRenewable Energy | +18.5% | 31.1% | 27.8x Undervalued | -86% vs avg | -8.0% |
ADANI POWER LTD ADANIPOWERPower Generation | +34.0% | 24.1% | 28.3x Undervalued | -86% vs avg | +78.1% |
SJVN LTD SJVNRenewable Energy | +52.0% | 12.8% | 41.9x Undervalued | -79% vs avg | -30.6% |
GAIL (INDIA) LTD trades at a discount (11.7x vs peer avg 197.7x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Gas Distribution cohort. Peers include GUJARAT ENERGY LIMITED, ADANI TOTAL GAS LIMITED, NTPC LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹38.95K CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹4.29K CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹6.53Jun 2026Net margin
16.0%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 32,212 | 31,807 | 34,236 | 32,318 | 33,674 | 32,912 | 34,937 | 35,685 | 34,769 | 35,008 | 34,051 | 34,773 | 38,953 |
| Expenses + | 29,779 | 28,315 | 30,414 | 28,760 | 29,146 | 29,167 | 32,099 | 32,469 | 31,435 | 31,817 | 31,396 | 33,620 | 32,577 |
| Operating Profit | 2,433 | 3,491 | 3,823 | 3,558 | 4,528 | 3,745 | 2,838 | 3,216 | 3,334 | 3,191 | 2,655 | 1,152 | 6,376 |
| OPM % | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 3.3% | 16% |
| Other Income + | 268 | 561 | 812 | 638 | 372 | 713 | 3,190 | 566 | 292 | 793 | 679 | 1,023 | 572 |
| Interest | 176 | 172 | 156 | 193 | 209 | 190 | 167 | 178 | 209 | 230 | 250 | 253 | 310 |
| Depreciation | 636 | 750 | 784 | 1,161 | 1,049 | 815 | 832 | 903 | 883 | 930 | 1,054 | 346 | 865 |
| Profit before tax | 1,889 | 3,130 | 3,694 | 2,842 | 3,642 | 3,453 | 5,029 | 2,701 | 2,533 | 2,823 | 2,030 | 1,577 | 5,773 |
| Tax % | 25% | 23% | 23% | 23% | 25% | 23% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 26% |
| Net Profit + | 1,412 | 2,405 | 2,843 | 2,177 | 2,724 | 2,672 | 3,867 | 2,049 | 1,886 | 2,217 | 1,603 | 1,262 | 4,292 |
| EPS in Rs | 2.15 | 3.66 | 4.32 | 3.31 | 4.14 | 4.06 | 5.88 | 3.12 | 2.87 | 3.37 | 2.44 | 1.92 | 6.53 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation