AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 1 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 24 using growth durability 24.2.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 61 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 98 using mean target upside 31.5%; dispersion penalty 0; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 46 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
This data source has not been supplied for the decision payload.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. analyst consensus provide support, while fundamentals and technical structure remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 16.3% below historical median. Valuation is declining — currently in the undervalued zone (z-score: -0.4). Confidence: 69%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹54.40. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹704.48 to ₹1,340.42, with base value near ₹1,124.45 (+53.0% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹54.40
Forward P/E
13.5x
Base Fair Value
₹1,124.45
Fair Range
₹704.48 - ₹1,340.42
Upside To Base
+53.0%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
-28.5%
5Y Average
16.14
Current
17.30
Overvalued
24.64
Undervalued
12.95
5Y Average
10.35
Current
11.13
Overvalued
13.96
Undervalued
6.84
5Y Average
1.33
Current
1.43
Overvalued
1.53
Undervalued
1.13
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Consumer Staples · Theme: Alcoholic Beverages
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
G M BREWERIES LTD GMBREWAlcoholic Beverages | +25.8% | 8.9% | 12.2x Undervalued | -86% vs avg | +34.1% |
GLOBUS SPIRITS LTD GLOBUSSPRAlcoholic Beverages | +12.7% | 3.6% | 10.0x Undervalued | -89% vs avg | -23.8% |
SULA VINEYARDS LIMITED SULAAlcoholic Beverages | +12.3% | 4.4% | 50.3x Undervalued | -43% vs avg | -36.5% |
UNITED SPIRITS LIMITED UNITDSPRAlcoholic Beverages | -10.2% | 14.9% | 64.4x Undervalued | -27% vs avg | +16.1% |
ALLIED BLEND N DISTILS L ABDLAlcoholic Beverages | +6.1% | 5.6% | 78.2x Fair | -12% vs avg | +21.4% |
RAVI KUMAR DIST. LTD. RKDLAlcoholic Beverages | -37.4% | 0.7% | 314.0x Premium | +255% vs avg | -30.3% |
RADICO KHAITAN LTD RADICOAlcoholic Beverages | +19.5% | 8.8% | 84.9x Fair | -4% vs avg | +57.1% |
UNITED BREWERIES LTD UBLAlcoholic Beverages | +7.1% | 4.2% | 93.1x Fair | +5% vs avg | -27.1% |
Comparable-scale peer data is limited — showing nearest stored business/industry peers instead of an empty comparison.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹281 CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹18 CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹8.92Jun 2026Net margin
11.0%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 156 | 170 | 191 | 242 | 252 | 255 | 327 | 242 | 267 | 254 | 260 | 238 | 281 |
| Expenses + | 138 | 151 | 171 | 224 | 224 | 230 | 287 | 207 | 230 | 230 | 219 | 198 | 251 |
| Operating Profit | 18 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 28 | 25 | 40 | 35 | 37 | 24 | 42 | 40 | 30 |
| OPM % | 12% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 9% | 16% | 17% | 11% |
| Other Income + | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Interest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Depreciation | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Profit before tax | 17 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 24 | 21 | 35 | 30 | 32 | 18 | 36 | 32 | 24 |
| Tax % | 26% | 25% | 29% | 23% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 24% | 23% | 28% | 26% |
| Net Profit + | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 15 | 26 | 22 | 24 | 14 | 27 | 24 | 18 |
| EPS in Rs | 6.83 | 7.44 | 6.95 | 6.78 | 9.80 | 8.47 | 14.43 | 12.35 | 13.09 | 7.38 | 14.38 | 11.71 | 8.92 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Earnings Call Transcript
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Outcome