AI Summary
✦ ClarthaRadico Khaitan is an alcoholic-beverages company making and trading IMFL and country liquor in India and overseas. Whisky, brandy, rum, gin, vodka, and liqueurs drive branded IMFL revenue, while bottling services add contract income. Its products reach government channels, canteens, distributors, and retailers. First-quarter net profit rose 70% to ₹225 crore, supporting 24.8% revenue growth and improving margins. Profit growth reached 74.9%, but ROE is unavailable for assessment. Debt/equity of 20.94 indicates extreme leverage, which can materially inflate reported ROE and increase financial risk. At 85.5 times earnings, the shares appear overvalued relative to current growth, despite earnings momentum. The key open question is whether improving margins and premium IMFL growth can justify the valuation while leverage remains elevated.
Price Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 20 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 89 using growth durability 89.2.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 7 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 59 using mean target upside 3.1%; dispersion penalty 13.6; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 33 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 10 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Mixed. fundamentals provide support, while valuation and technical structure remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 93.3% above historical median. Valuation is rising — currently in the strongly overvalued zone (z-score: +2.81). Confidence: 68%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹79.72. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹2,547.85 to ₹4,268.21, with base value near ₹3,506.09 (-22.5% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹79.72
Forward P/E
56.8x
Base Fair Value
₹3,506.09
Fair Range
₹2,547.85 - ₹4,268.21
Upside To Base
-22.5%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+62.1%
5Y Average
35.76
Current
84.99
Overvalued
53.54
Undervalued
31.96
5Y Average
16.94
Current
40.28
Overvalued
23.13
Undervalued
9.94
5Y Average
4.36
Current
10.36
Overvalued
5.95
Undervalued
2.56
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Consumer Staples · Theme: Alcoholic Beverages
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNITED SPIRITS LIMITED UNITDSPRAlcoholic Beverages | -10.2% | 14.9% | 64.0x Fair | -1% vs avg | +16.1% |
UNITED BREWERIES LTD UBLAlcoholic Beverages | +7.1% | 4.2% | 93.4x Premium | +44% vs avg | -27.1% |
ALLIED BLEND N DISTILS L ABDLAlcoholic Beverages | +6.1% | 5.6% | 78.1x Premium | +21% vs avg | +21.4% |
TILAKNAGAR INDUSTRIES LTD TIAlcoholic Beverages | +155.7% | -1.2% | — | — | -0.6% |
LT FOODS LIMITED LTFOODSPackaged Foods | +23.8% | 5.5% | 23.1x Undervalued | -64% vs avg | -7.4% |
RADICO KHAITAN LTD trades at a premium (85.3x vs peer avg 64.7x), implying higher growth or quality expectations from the Alcoholic Beverages cohort. Peers include UNITED SPIRITS LIMITED, UNITED BREWERIES LTD, ALLIED BLEND N DISTILS L — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹1.68K CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹226 CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹16.88Jun 2026Net margin
21.0%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 954 | 925 | 1,161 | 1,079 | 1,137 | 1,116 | 1,294 | 1,304 | 1,506 | 1,494 | 1,547 | 1,504 | 1,684 |
| Expenses + | 834 | 804 | 1,018 | 956 | 988 | 953 | 1,110 | 1,126 | 1,274 | 1,256 | 1,280 | 1,219 | 1,335 |
| Operating Profit | 120 | 121 | 143 | 123 | 149 | 163 | 184 | 178 | 232 | 238 | 267 | 284 | 349 |
| OPM % | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 21% |
| Other Income + | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | -7 | 6 | 5 |
| Interest | 12 | 12 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 12 |
| Depreciation | 24 | 26 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 37 | 37 | 42 | 41 |
| Profit before tax | 84 | 83 | 98 | 77 | 101 | 112 | 130 | 122 | 178 | 186 | 207 | 233 | 301 |
| Tax % | 25% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 27% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Net Profit + | 63 | 62 | 74 | 57 | 76 | 82 | 96 | 91 | 133 | 139 | 155 | 175 | 226 |
| EPS in Rs | 4.73 | 4.63 | 5.52 | 4.25 | 5.71 | 6.14 | 7.17 | 6.78 | 9.96 | 10.38 | 11.58 | 13.08 | 16.88 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).