AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 25 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 60 using growth durability 60.5.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 27 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 48 using mean target upside 0.9%; dispersion penalty 17.7; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 72 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 3 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Mixed. technical structure provide support, while valuation and analyst consensus remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 17.4% above historical median. Valuation is declining — currently in the strongly overvalued zone (z-score: +1.52). Confidence: 87%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹30.22. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹1,473.83 to ₹1,805.04, with base value near ₹1,678.72 (+8.4% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹30.22
Forward P/E
51.3x
Base Fair Value
₹1,678.72
Fair Range
₹1,473.83 - ₹1,805.04
Upside To Base
+8.4%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+11.2%
5Y Average
47.35
Current
65.24
Overvalued
59.73
Undervalued
48.77
5Y Average
35.64
Current
49.09
Overvalued
43.59
Undervalued
27.25
5Y Average
6.32
Current
8.71
Overvalued
7.73
Undervalued
4.83
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Consumer Staples · Theme: Alcoholic Beverages
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RADICO KHAITAN LTD RADICOAlcoholic Beverages | +19.5% | 8.8% | 85.3x Fair | -4% vs avg | +57.1% |
UNITED BREWERIES LTD UBLAlcoholic Beverages | +7.1% | 4.2% | 93.4x Fair | +5% vs avg | -27.1% |
UNITED SPIRITS LIMITED trades at a discount (64.0x vs peer avg 89.3x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Alcoholic Beverages cohort. Peers include RADICO KHAITAN LTD, UNITED BREWERIES LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹3.68K CrDec 2025Latest net profit
₹539 CrDec 2025Latest EPS
₹7.27Dec 2025Net margin
14.6%Dec 2025Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Dec 2025
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 2,494 | 2,172 | 2,865 | 2,989 | 2,666 | 2,352 | 2,843 | 3,432 | 2,946 | 2,549 | 3,170 | 3,683 |
| Expenses | 2,170 | 1,804 | 2,395 | 2,498 | 2,304 | 1,894 | 2,336 | 2,844 | 2,441 | 2,134 | 2,498 | 3,067 |
| Operating Profit | 256 | 303 | 405 | 429 | 291 | 393 | 438 | 516 | 437 | 347 | 607 | 537 |
| OPM % | 10.26% | 13.95% | 14.13% | 14.34% | 10.92% | 16.71% | 15.41% | 15.03% | 14.83% | 13.61% | 19.15% | 14.58% |
| Other Income | 16.9 | 21 | 38.8 | 46.1 | 229 | 32 | 34 | 190 | 170 | 61 | 76 | 144 |
| Interest | 36 | 4 | 26.2 | 16.4 | 29 | 22 | 25 | 20 | 22 | 49 | 21 | 19 |
| Depreciation | 68.4 | 65 | 65.3 | 62.8 | 71 | 65 | 69 | 72 | 68 | 68 | 65 | 79 |
| Profit before tax | 237 | 320 | 417 | 458 | 491 | 403 | 447 | 686 | 585 | 359 | 662 | 662 |
| Tax % | 27.33% | 25.62% | 25.59% | 26.29% | 15.48% | 25.81% | 25.06% | 22.89% | 22.91% | 25.07% | 24.17% | 18.58% |
| Net Profit | 172 | 238 | 311 | 338 | 415 | 299 | 335 | 529 | 451 | 269 | 502 | 539 |
| EPS in Rs | 2.80 | 3.27 | 4.69 | 4.79 | 5.28 | 4.11 | 4.61 | 6.50 | 6.20 | 3.55 | 6.49 | 7.27 |
All values in Rs. Crore unless otherwise stated. Source: CMIE Prowess, Quarterly Interim Standalone.