AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 20 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 77 using growth durability 76.9.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 94 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 58 using mean target upside 22.1%; dispersion penalty 23.8; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 68 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is skewing constructive on impact and recency. Based on 6 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Supportive. fundamentals and valuation provide support.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 13.5% below historical median. Valuation is declining — currently in the strongly undervalued zone (z-score: -1.02). Confidence: 88%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹114.95. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹1,912.77 to ₹2,228.88, with base value near ₹2,112.78 (+50.5% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹114.95
Forward P/E
12.2x
Base Fair Value
₹2,112.78
Fair Range
₹1,912.77 - ₹2,228.88
Upside To Base
+50.5%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+23.3%
5Y Average
2.64
Current
2.20
Overvalued
3.04
Undervalued
2.25
5Y Average
20.46
Current
15.90
Overvalued
19.39
Undervalued
16.64
5Y Average
8.87
Current
6.89
Overvalued
9.90
Undervalued
7.41
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Financials · Theme: Home Financing
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INDIA SHELTER FIN CORP L INDIASHLTRHome Financing | +21.8% | 48.0% | 15.5x Undervalued | -53% vs avg | -30.4% |
SAMMAAN CAPITAL LIMITED SAMMAANCAPHome Financing | — | 0.0% | — | — | +35.8% |
PIRAMAL FINANCE LIMITED PIRAMALFINHome Financing | +30.4% | 32.6% | 28.3x Fair | -14% vs avg | +58.8% |
IFCI LTD IFCISpecialized Finance | — | 0.0% | 106.4x Premium | +224% vs avg | +44.0% |
INDIAN RENEWABLE ENERGY IREDASpecialized Finance | +23.7% | 46.0% | 16.9x Undervalued | -48% vs avg | -17.2% |
MOTILAL OSWAL FIN LTD MOTILALOFSDiversified Financials | +23.9% | 23.0% | 27.5x Undervalued | -16% vs avg | -5.3% |
AUTHUM INVEST & INFRA LTD AIILSpecialized Finance | +14.1% | 82.1% | 30.1x Fair | -8% vs avg | +3.7% |
LIC HOUSING FINANCE LTD LICHSGFINHome Financing | +14.5% | 65.2% | 4.8x Undervalued | -85% vs avg | -12.8% |
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INDIA SHELTER FIN CORP L INDIASHLTRHome Financing | +21.8% | 48.0% | 15.5x Fair | +4% vs avg | -30.4% |
SAMMAAN CAPITAL LIMITED SAMMAANCAPHome Financing | — | 0.0% | — | — | +35.8% |
PIRAMAL FINANCE LIMITED PIRAMALFINHome Financing | +30.4% | 32.6% | 28.3x Premium | +90% vs avg | +58.8% |
LIC HOUSING FINANCE LTD LICHSGFINHome Financing | +14.5% | 65.2% | 4.8x Undervalued | -68% vs avg | -12.8% |
APTUS VALUE HSG FIN I LTD APTUSHome Financing | +16.8% | 61.8% | 13.1x Fair | -12% vs avg | -26.5% |
PNB HOUSING FIN LTD. PNBHOUSINGHome Financing | +5.8% | 61.4% | 12.8x Fair | -14% vs avg | +49.8% |
AAVAS FINANCIERS LIMITED trades at a discount (15.8x vs peer avg 32.8x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Home Financing cohort. Peers include INDIA SHELTER FIN CORP L, SAMMAAN CAPITAL LIMITED, PIRAMAL FINANCE LIMITED — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹709 CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹171 CrJun 2026Free cash flow
₹-1.42K CrMar 2026Net Profit
₹171 CrProfit conversionPerformance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue + | 467 | 497 | 508 | 546 | 542 | 579 | 597 | 636 | 628 | 667 | 674 | 715 | 709 |
| Interest | 187 | 204 | 217 | 222 | 235 | 249 | 259 | 265 | 271 | 276 | 274 | 273 | 293 |
| Expenses + | 132 | 130 | 134 | 139 | 138 | 133 | 142 | 170 | 168 | 170 | 170 | 199 | 185 |
| Financing Profit | 148 | 163 | 157 | 186 | 169 | 198 | 196 | 202 | 188 | 222 | 230 | 243 | 231 |
| Financing Margin % | 32% | 33% | 31% | 34% | 31% | 34% | 33% | 32% | 30% | 33% | 34% | 34% | 33% |
| Other Income + | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Depreciation | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| Profit before tax | 141 | 157 | 150 | 177 | 161 | 190 | 188 | 193 | 179 | 211 | 219 | 231 | 220 |
| Tax % | 22% | 22% | 22% | 20% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 20% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 21% | 22% |
| Net Profit + | 110 | 122 | 117 | 143 | 126 | 148 | 146 | 154 | 139 | 164 | 170 | 182 | 171 |
| EPS in Rs | 13.87 | 15.38 | 14.74 | 18.02 | 15.93 | 18.69 | 18.50 | 19.42 | 17.59 | 20.71 | 21.48 | 22.91 | 21.60 |
| Gross NPA % | 1.00% | 1.04% | 1.09% | 0.94% | 1.01% | 1.08% | 1.14% | 1.08% | 1.22% | 1.24% | 1.19% | 1.05% | |
| Net NPA % | 0.73% | 0.76% | 0.79% | 0.67% | 0.72% | 0.78% | 0.81% | 0.73% | 0.84% | 0.85% | 0.79% | 0.68% | |
| Raw PDF | |||||||||||||
| YOY Sales Growth % | 32.32% | 25.82% | 23.53% | 21.47% | 16.19% | 16.61% | 17.47% | 16.52% | 15.70% | 15.17% | 12.98% | 12.33% | 12.93% |
| Employee Cost % | 20.33% | 16.51% | 16.36% | 17.56% | 16.88% | 14.44% | 15.19% | 17.60% | 17.64% | 16.93% | 16.94% | 18.54% | 17.17% |
| Other income normal | 0.04 | 0.78 | 1.19 | 0.78 | 0.17 | 1.29 | 1.18 | 1.28 | 0.37 | 0.43 | 0.42 | 0.15 | 0.38 |
| Profit excl Excep | 110 | 122 | 117 | 143 | 126 | 148 | 146 | 154 | 139 | 164 | 170 | 182 | 171 |
| Profit for PE | 110 | 122 | 117 | 143 | 126 | 148 | 146 | 154 | 139 | 164 | 170 | 182 | 171 |
| Profit for EPS | 110 | 122 | 117 | 143 | 126 | 148 | 146 | 154 | 139 | 164 | 170 | 182 | 171 |
| YOY Profit Growth % | 23% | 14% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 23% |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Press Release / Media Release