AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
Analyst coverage unavailable
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 87 using EVA spread proxy 29.9%; growth durability 66.7.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 38 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
No usable analyst target or recommendation data was available.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 78 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 3 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. fundamentals and technical structure provide support, while valuation and market sentiment remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 4.1% above historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the fair zone (z-score: +0.21). Confidence: 50%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹4.30. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹3.57 to ₹4.82, with base value near ₹4.21 (-98.1% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹4.30
Forward P/E
52.9x
Base Fair Value
₹4.21
Fair Range
₹3.57 - ₹4.82
Upside To Base
-98.1%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+19.7%
5Y Average
0.86
Current
1.02
Overvalued
1.12
Undervalued
0.83
5Y Average
3.39
Current
4.02
Overvalued
3.90
Undervalued
2.88
5Y Average
0.50
Current
0.38
Overvalued
0.58
Undervalued
0.43
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Materials · Theme: Fertilizers & Agro Chemicals
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ASTEC LIFESCIENCES LTD ASTECFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | -8.3% | -15.1% | — | — | -21.1% |
BHARAT RASAYAN LTD BHARATRASFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | +0.5% | 11.7% | 3.9x Undervalued | -79% vs avg | -52.5% |
ARIES AGRO LTD. ARIESFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | +41.1% | 5.8% | 10.5x Undervalued | -44% vs avg | -7.6% |
NOVA AGRITECH LIMITED NOVAAGRIFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | -31.3% | 4.9% | 17.0x Fair | -10% vs avg | -53.4% |
COROMANDEL INTERNTL. LTD COROMANDELFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | +15.9% | 5.6% | 33.3x Premium | +76% vs avg | -14.1% |
UPL LIMITED UPLFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | +10.5% | 3.8% | 23.3x Premium | +23% vs avg | -18.3% |
FACT LTD FACTFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | +40.9% | 7.7% | — | — | -8.8% |
BAYER CROPSCIENCE LTD BAYERCROPFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | -4.2% | 13.1% | 25.5x Premium | +35% vs avg | -25.8% |
Comparable-scale peer data is limited — showing nearest stored business/industry peers instead of an empty comparison.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest net profit
₹-7.61 CrDec 2025Latest EPS
₹-1.84Dec 2025Free cash flow
₹240 CrFY25Net Profit
₹-7.61 CrProfit conversionPerformance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Dec 2025
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 39.44 | 40.74 | 14.61 | 10.17 | 17.49 | 26.49 | — | — | 2.01 | — | — | — |
| Expenses | 43.22 | 42.34 | 27.96 | 15.73 | 20.55 | 27.28 | 2.44 | 2.59 | 8.28 | 1.53 | 2.35 | 2.37 |
| Operating Profit | -4.82 | -2.41 | -14.17 | -6.37 | -3.86 | -1.57 | -2.45 | -2.6 | -7.09 | -1.55 | -2.39 | -2.41 |
| OPM % | -12.22% | -5.92% | -96.99% | -62.64% | -22.07% | -5.93% | — | — | -352.74% | — | — | — |
| Other Income | 59.93 | 9.27 | 23.61 | 3.44 | 113 | 4.77 | 22 | 0.25 | 4.86 | 0.24 | 10.02 | 0.25 |
| Interest | 26.07 | 25.53 | 25.95 | 24.19 | 25.63 | 22 | 21.52 | 22.15 | 19.31 | 15.19 | 14.45 | 14.16 |
| Depreciation | 1.04 | 0.81 | 0.82 | 0.81 | 0.8 | 0.78 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.82 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| Profit before tax | 29.04 | -18.67 | -16.51 | -27.12 | 83.71 | -18.8 | -1.97 | -24.5 | -21.54 | -16.5 | -6.82 | -16.32 |
| Tax % | 8.02% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -2431.52% | 53.37% |
| Net Profit | 26.71 | -18.67 | -16.51 | -27.12 | 83.71 | -18.8 | -1.97 | -24.5 | -21.54 | -16.5 | -173 | -7.61 |
| EPS in Rs | -118.54 | -4.44 | -3.93 | -6.45 | 19.90 | -4.47 | -1.13 | -6.34 | -5.43 | -4.41 | 236.73 | -1.84 |
All values in Rs. Crore unless otherwise stated. Source: CMIE Prowess, Quarterly Interim Standalone.