AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 17 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 49 using growth durability 48.7.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 96 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 71 using mean target upside 28.7%; dispersion penalty 15.3; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 59 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 8 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. valuation and analyst consensus provide support, while fundamentals remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 5.3% below historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the strongly undervalued zone (z-score: -0.43). Confidence: 87%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹47.12. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹1,050.78 to ₹1,239.26, with base value near ₹1,158.68 (+104.0% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹47.12
Forward P/E
12.1x
Base Fair Value
₹1,158.68
Fair Range
₹1,050.78 - ₹1,239.26
Upside To Base
+104.0%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
5Y Average
26.04
Current
23.30
Overvalued
26.30
Undervalued
22.30
5Y Average
9.99
Current
8.94
Overvalued
11.09
Undervalued
9.03
5Y Average
1.68
Current
1.38
Overvalued
1.94
Undervalued
1.43
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Materials · Theme: Fertilizers & Agro Chemicals
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CHAMBAL FERTILIZERS LTD CHAMBLFERTFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | -11.8% | 9.6% | 9.3x Undervalued | -55% vs avg | -15.9% |
COROMANDEL INTERNTL. LTD COROMANDELFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | +15.9% | 5.6% | 33.0x Premium | +61% vs avg | -12.5% |
BAYER CROPSCIENCE LTD BAYERCROPFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | -4.2% | 13.1% | 25.2x Premium | +23% vs avg | -26.0% |
PARADEEP PHOSPHATES LTD PARADEEPFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | +63.1% | 4.6% | 14.6x Undervalued | -29% vs avg | -28.9% |
FACT LTD FACTFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | +40.9% | 7.7% | — | — | -11.9% |
UPL LIMITED trades at a premium (23.6x vs peer avg 20.5x), implying higher growth or quality expectations from the Fertilizers & Agro Chemicals cohort. Peers include CHAMBAL FERTILIZERS LTD, COROMANDEL INTERNTL. LTD, BAYER CROPSCIENCE LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹1.39K CrDec 2025Latest net profit
₹67 CrDec 2025Latest EPS
₹0.37Dec 2025Net margin
1.7%Dec 2025Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Dec 2025
Results
| Metric | Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,528 | 1,355 | 1,777 | 1,018 | 1,248 | 802 | 1,090 | 1,427 | 2,011 | 1,660 | 1,512 | 1,390 |
| Expenses | 1,584 | 1,228 | 1,542 | 1,039 | 1,146 | 736 | 1,060 | 1,329 | 2,062 | 1,591 | 1,431 | 1,334 |
| Operating Profit | -88 | 94 | 188 | -45 | 74 | 32 | 2 | 59 | -85 | 36 | 49 | 24 |
| OPM % | -5.76% | 6.94% | 10.58% | -4.42% | 5.93% | 3.99% | 0.18% | 4.13% | -4.23% | 2.17% | 3.24% | 1.73% |
| Other Income | 135 | 4 | 774 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 130 | 43 | 10 | 118 | 349 | 83 |
| Interest | 47 | 40 | 47 | 48 | 57 | 46 | 87 | 60 | 81 | 22 | 43 | 32 |
| Depreciation | 32 | 33 | 47 | 24 | 28 | 34 | 28 | 39 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 32 |
| Profit before tax | 0 | 58 | 915 | -73 | 33 | -10 | 45 | 42 | -156 | 132 | 355 | 75 |
| Tax % | — | 10.34% | 13.33% | 0% | 9.09% | 0% | 6.67% | -2.38% | 17.31% | 7.58% | 23.38% | 10.67% |
| Net Profit | -15 | 52 | 793 | -73 | 30 | -10 | 42 | 43 | -129 | 122 | 272 | 67 |
| EPS in Rs | -2.18 | 3.55 | 12.07 | 0.61 | 0.99 | 0.82 | 1.88 | 12.67 | 22.16 | 1.50 | 3.32 | 0.37 |
All values in Rs. Crore unless otherwise stated. Source: CMIE Prowess, Quarterly Interim Standalone.