AI Summary
✦ ClarthaChambal Fertilisers is an Indian fertilizer manufacturer and marketer. Own-manufactured urea drives core revenue, while complex fertilizers, NPK products, and crop-protection chemicals broaden agri-input sales. The latest 16% EPS beat supports near-term earnings, but fair value has declined as margin concerns increase. Revenue grew 24.9% year-on-year, exceeding 18.4% profit growth and confirming declining margins. ROE is unavailable, while debt-to-equity of 10.27 implies significant leverage, increasing financial risk and potentially magnifying reported returns. At 9.4 times earnings, valuation appears discounted versus growth, but margin compression and heavy leverage remain key open questions.
Price Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 3 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 54 using growth durability 54.4.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 60 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 78 using mean target upside 22.9%; dispersion penalty 8.0; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 62 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is skewing constructive on impact and recency. Based on 1 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. analyst consensus and market sentiment provide support, while fundamentals remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 2.8% below historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the fair zone (z-score: +0.02). Confidence: 79%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹48.83. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹392.10 to ₹513.69, with base value near ₹470.23 (+4.1% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹48.83
Forward P/E
9.3x
Base Fair Value
₹470.23
Fair Range
₹392.10 - ₹513.69
Upside To Base
+4.1%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
-4.6%
5Y Average
8.22
Current
9.36
Overvalued
10.52
Undervalued
8.03
5Y Average
5.72
Current
6.53
Overvalued
6.98
Undervalued
4.34
5Y Average
2.15
Current
1.74
Overvalued
2.47
Undervalued
1.82
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Materials · Theme: Fertilizers & Agro Chemicals
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PARADEEP PHOSPHATES LTD PARADEEPFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | +63.1% | 4.6% | 14.5x Undervalued | -46% vs avg | -34.3% |
SHARDA CROPCHEM LTD. SHARDACROPFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | +4.9% | 11.9% | 11.7x Undervalued | -56% vs avg | -16.9% |
UPL LIMITED UPLFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | +10.5% | 3.8% | 23.3x Fair | -13% vs avg | -18.3% |
BAYER CROPSCIENCE LTD BAYERCROPFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | -4.2% | 13.1% | 25.5x Fair | -5% vs avg | -25.8% |
COROMANDEL INTERNTL. LTD COROMANDELFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | +15.9% | 5.6% | 33.3x Premium | +24% vs avg | -14.1% |
FACT LTD FACTFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | +40.9% | 7.7% | — | — | -8.8% |
MADHYA BHARAT AGRO P. LTD MBAPLFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | +1.6% | 8.2% | 47.9x Premium | +79% vs avg | +87.4% |
KRISHANA PHOSCHEM LIMITED KRISHANAFertilizers & Agro Chemicals | +34.6% | 7.7% | 31.5x Premium | +18% vs avg | +68.7% |
CHAMBAL FERTILIZERS LTD trades at a discount (9.4x vs peer avg 26.8x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Fertilizers & Agro Chemicals cohort. Peers include PARADEEP PHOSPHATES LTD, SHARDA CROPCHEM LTD., UPL LIMITED — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹5.03K CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹703 CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹17.56Jun 2026Net margin
17.0%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 5,589 | 5,386 | 4,349 | 2,643 | 4,933 | 4,346 | 4,918 | 2,449 | 5,698 | 6,413 | 5,898 | 2,785 | 5,027 |
| Expenses + | 4,956 | 4,770 | 3,720 | 2,476 | 4,181 | 3,556 | 4,140 | 2,285 | 4,936 | 5,571 | 5,077 | 2,530 | 4,176 |
| Operating Profit | 634 | 615 | 629 | 167 | 752 | 790 | 778 | 164 | 761 | 842 | 821 | 255 | 851 |
| OPM % | 11% | 11% | 14% | 6% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 7% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 17% |
| Other Income + | 145 | 82 | 95 | 62 | 190 | 44 | 64 | 55 | 168 | 40 | 14 | 29 | 182 |
| Interest | 55 | 46 | 36 | 36 | 40 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 |
| Depreciation | 77 | 78 | 79 | 78 | 82 | 83 | 83 | 82 | 84 | 87 | 88 | 90 | 89 |
| Profit before tax | 646 | 573 | 608 | 115 | 820 | 750 | 753 | 137 | 843 | 795 | 746 | 191 | 927 |
| Tax % | 27% | 35% | 34% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 27% | 24% | 24% | 24% | 24% | 24% |
| Net Profit + | 469 | 372 | 404 | 86 | 552 | 500 | 504 | 100 | 638 | 602 | 565 | 145 | 703 |
| EPS in Rs | 11.28 | 8.95 | 9.70 | 2.15 | 13.78 | 12.49 | 12.59 | 2.49 | 15.92 | 15.02 | 14.09 | 3.63 | 17.56 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Earnings Call Transcript