AI Summary
✦ ClarthaRoyal Orchid Hotels is a hotel and resort operator serving business and leisure travelers in India and Tanzania. Its revenue comes from 5-star and 4-star properties under Regenta, Royal Orchid, Regenta Central, and Regenta Inn brands, alongside restaurant services. Revenue grew 20.2% year-on-year, while stable margins indicate no clear recent operational catalyst. The absence of major developments leaves growth dependent on occupancy, room rates, and property execution. ROE stands at 12.8%, but debt-to-equity of 232.51 materially increases leverage risk and amplifies pressure on shareholder returns. Profit declined 31.9% despite revenue growth, suggesting weaker earnings conversion beneath stable margins. At 27.5 times earnings, the stock appears fairly valued versus its current growth profile, rather than discounted. The key open question is whether operating growth can offset financing costs and restore profit growth.
Price Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
Analyst coverage unavailable
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 48 using EVA spread proxy 0.8%; growth durability 36.2.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 30 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
No usable analyst target or recommendation data was available.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 71 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
This data source has not been supplied for the decision payload.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Mixed. technical structure provide support, while fundamentals and valuation remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 9.5% below historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the strongly undervalued zone (z-score: -0.79). Confidence: 85%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹5.63. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹158.82 to ₹186.18, with base value near ₹171.32 (-47.0% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹5.63
Forward P/E
57.4x
Base Fair Value
₹171.32
Fair Range
₹158.82 - ₹186.18
Upside To Base
-47.0%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
-39.2%
5Y Average
25.55
Current
27.55
Overvalued
33.07
Undervalued
28.21
5Y Average
12.28
Current
13.25
Overvalued
14.72
Undervalued
10.64
5Y Average
2.14
Current
2.31
Overvalued
2.46
Undervalued
1.82
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Consumer Discretionary · Theme: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PARKHOTELS PARKHOTELSHotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | +3.6% | 9.3% | 39.2x Fair | +11% vs avg | -19.0% |
BRIGADE HOTEL VENTURE LTD BRIGHOTELHotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | +5.4% | 12.9% | 35.7x Fair | +1% vs avg | -29.7% |
ADVENT HOTELS INTERNATI L ADVENTHTLHotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | +6.8% | 16.3% | 12.4x Undervalued | -65% vs avg | -55.1% |
ASIAN HOTELS (NORTH) LTD ASIANHOTNRHotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | +12.5% | -30.0% | — | — | -1.7% |
ITC HOTELS LIMITED ITCHOTELSHotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | +14.8% | 20.3% | 40.7x Premium | +16% vs avg | -25.3% |
CHALET HOTELS LIMITED CHALETHotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | -42.7% | 22.1% | 34.8x Fair | -1% vs avg | -1.2% |
THE INDIAN HOTELS CO. LTD INDHOTELHotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | +15.1% | 20.9% | 48.4x Premium | +37% vs avg | -2.1% |
BLUE COAST HOTELS LIMITED BLUECOASTHotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | +2045.6% | -102.7% | — | — | -63.0% |
Comparable-scale peer data is limited — showing nearest stored business/industry peers instead of an empty comparison.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹59 CrDec 2025Latest net profit
₹6.75 CrDec 2025Latest EPS
₹2.46Dec 2025Net margin
19.3%Dec 2025Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Dec 2025
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 47.52 | 44.61 | 44.51 | 53.97 | 48.85 | 46.59 | 46.73 | 56.89 | 52.74 | 47.56 | 48.33 | 58.69 |
| Expenses | 32.01 | 31.91 | 31.48 | 34.96 | 36.91 | 35.48 | 35.92 | 40 | 42.84 | 36.57 | 36.81 | 43.08 |
| Operating Profit | 12.45 | 8.99 | 9.21 | 15.17 | 7.8 | 6.94 | 6.68 | 12.97 | 6.08 | 7.09 | 7.28 | 11.34 |
| OPM % | 26.2% | 20.15% | 20.69% | 28.11% | 15.97% | 14.9% | 14.29% | 22.8% | 11.53% | 14.91% | 15.06% | 19.32% |
| Other Income | 1.15 | 0.97 | 0.99 | 0.78 | 3.63 | 2.5 | 5.21 | 0.97 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.31 | 1.12 |
| Interest | 3.93 | 3.79 | 3.57 | 3.55 | 3.71 | 3.65 | 3.63 | 3.33 | 3.23 | 3.19 | 3.45 | 3.47 |
| Depreciation | 3.06 | 3.71 | 3.82 | 3.84 | 4.14 | 4.17 | 4.13 | 3.92 | 3.82 | 3.9 | 4.24 | 4.27 |
| Profit before tax | 9.67 | 6.17 | 6.63 | 12.4 | 7.72 | 5.79 | 8.26 | 10.61 | 5.35 | 4.8 | 5.14 | 8.99 |
| Tax % | 25.75% | 24.31% | 25.49% | 25.16% | 25.65% | 23.49% | 24.94% | 24.88% | 28.04% | 24.58% | 24.71% | 24.92% |
| Net Profit | 7.18 | 4.67 | 4.94 | 9.28 | 5.74 | 4.43 | 6.2 | 7.97 | 3.85 | 3.62 | 3.87 | 6.75 |
| EPS in Rs | 2.62 | 1.70 | 1.80 | 3.38 | 2.09 | 1.62 | 2.26 | 2.91 | 1.41 | 1.32 | 1.41 | 2.46 |
All values in Rs. Crore unless otherwise stated. Source: CMIE Prowess, Quarterly Interim Standalone.