AI Summary
✦ ClarthaThe Indian Hotels Company is a hospitality company operating hotels, resorts, restaurants, and catering businesses. Hotel Services drives core revenue through Taj, Vivanta, Ginger, SeleQtions, and other brands across India and international markets. Air and Institutional Catering adds Tajsats, while Qmin, spas, bars, and boutique services support ancillary spending. Revenue grew 15.7% year-on-year, but no major recent development provides a clear incremental catalyst for margins or growth. Profit growth lagged revenue growth at 9.3%, while margins remained stable; ROE data is unavailable. Debt/equity of 18.99 indicates substantial leverage, which can magnify ROE but also raises balance-sheet sensitivity. At 48.5 times earnings, the stock appears rich relative to its 9.3% profit growth. The valuation leaves limited room for execution misses, with future earnings conversion and leverage management remaining key investor questions.
Price Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 29 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 92 using growth durability 92.3.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 36 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 70 using mean target upside 14.7%; dispersion penalty 12.6; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 84 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 1 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. fundamentals and analyst consensus provide support, while valuation and market sentiment remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 6.2% above historical median. Valuation is declining — currently in the overvalued zone (z-score: +0.59). Confidence: 81%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹18.69. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹721.25 to ₹915.62, with base value near ₹844.79 (+16.7% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹18.69
Forward P/E
38.7x
Base Fair Value
₹844.79
Fair Range
₹721.25 - ₹915.62
Upside To Base
+16.7%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+20.7%
5Y Average
33.60
Current
48.01
Overvalued
48.99
Undervalued
38.59
5Y Average
21.16
Current
30.24
Overvalued
29.85
Undervalued
13.23
5Y Average
7.01
Current
10.02
Overvalued
9.89
Undervalued
4.38
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Consumer Discretionary · Theme: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ITC HOTELS LIMITED ITCHOTELSHotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | +14.8% | 20.3% | 41.0x Undervalued | -40% vs avg | -25.9% |
TRENT LTD TRENTRetail - Apparel | +17.8% | 8.6% | 88.5x Premium | +29% vs avg | -43.6% |
TITAN COMPANY LIMITED TITANPrecious Metals, Jewellery & Watches | +29.3% | 6.2% | 76.9x Fair | +12% vs avg | +46.0% |
THE INDIAN HOTELS CO. LTD trades at a discount (48.1x vs peer avg 68.8x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines cohort. Peers include ITC HOTELS LIMITED, TRENT LTD, TITAN COMPANY LIMITED — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹1.23K CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹337 CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹2.37Jun 2026Net margin
39.0%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 890 | 893 | 1,281 | 1,342 | 931 | 1,035 | 1,474 | 1,476 | 1,045 | 1,060 | 1,614 | 1,661 | 1,232 |
| Expenses + | 596 | 619 | 722 | 756 | 604 | 691 | 792 | 798 | 682 | 690 | 856 | 868 | 755 |
| Operating Profit | 294 | 274 | 558 | 586 | 327 | 345 | 682 | 678 | 363 | 370 | 757 | 792 | 477 |
| OPM % | 33% | 31% | 44% | 44% | 35% | 33% | 46% | 46% | 35% | 35% | 47% | 48% | 39% |
| Other Income + | 45 | 25 | 43 | 2 | 40 | 87 | 43 | 42 | 55 | 105 | 474 | 49 | 66 |
| Interest | 30 | 31 | 28 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
| Depreciation | 54 | 55 | 59 | 60 | 60 | 62 | 66 | 68 | 67 | 67 | 69 | 75 | 70 |
| Profit before tax | 254 | 212 | 515 | 502 | 282 | 344 | 633 | 628 | 326 | 384 | 1,137 | 741 | 448 |
| Tax % | 26% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | 25% | 19% | 25% | 25% |
| Net Profit + | 188 | 157 | 380 | 369 | 209 | 254 | 469 | 481 | 245 | 289 | 921 | 558 | 337 |
| EPS in Rs | 1.33 | 1.11 | 2.67 | 2.59 | 1.47 | 1.79 | 3.29 | 3.38 | 1.72 | 2.03 | 6.47 | 3.92 | 2.37 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation
Disclosure Under Regulation 30 Of The SEBI (LODR) Regulations, 2015- ESG Rating