AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 24 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 90 using growth durability 89.8.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 8 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 58 using mean target upside 5.6%; dispersion penalty 13.6; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 83 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 8 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. fundamentals and technical structure provide support, while valuation and market sentiment remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 78.2% above historical median. Valuation is rising — currently in the strongly overvalued zone (z-score: +2.13). Confidence: 67%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹33.33. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹676.27 to ₹1,116.22, with base value near ₹867.91 (-25.9% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹33.33
Forward P/E
35.1x
Base Fair Value
₹867.91
Fair Range
₹676.27 - ₹1,116.22
Upside To Base
-25.9%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+26.4%
5Y Average
13.16
Current
16.04
Overvalued
13.98
Undervalued
12.03
5Y Average
20.99
Current
46.41
Overvalued
33.49
Undervalued
20.29
5Y Average
10.86
Current
24.02
Overvalued
14.96
Undervalued
5.57
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Financials · Theme: Asset Management
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HDFC AMC LIMITED HDFCAMCAsset Management | +13.4% | 61.6% | 36.7x Undervalued | -29% vs avg | -6.9% |
ICICI PRUDENTIAL AMC LTD ICICIAMCAsset Management | +18.1% | 55.5% | 43.4x Undervalued | -16% vs avg | +18.1% |
ANAND RATHI WEALTH LTD ANANDRATHIAsset Management | +52.1% | 33.2% | 78.4x Premium | +51% vs avg | +52.5% |
ADIT BIRL SUN LIF AMC LTD ABSLAMCAsset Management | +10.6% | 47.6% | 29.3x Undervalued | -44% vs avg | +20.7% |
BAJAJ HOLDINGS & INVS LTD BAJAJHLDNGAsset Management | +24.2% | 734.6% | 14.5x Undervalued | -72% vs avg | -19.8% |
TATA INVESTMENT CORP LTD TATAINVESTAsset Management | +4.1% | 105.2% | 81.8x Premium | +58% vs avg | -0.2% |
JIO FIN SERVICES LTD JIOFINNBFC | +208.2% | 55.0% | 79.5x Premium | +53% vs avg | -22.3% |
NIPPON L I A M LTD trades in line with peers (46.3x vs avg 51.9x), reflecting a fair valuation within the Asset Management cohort. Peers include HDFC AMC LIMITED, ICICI PRUDENTIAL AMC LTD, ANAND RATHI WEALTH LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹721 CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹486 CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹7.61Jun 2026Net margin
70.0%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 329 | 368 | 392 | 432 | 466 | 527 | 545 | 526 | 564 | 612 | 659 | 693 | 721 |
| Expenses + | 131 | 132 | 138 | 147 | 157 | 165 | 168 | 168 | 180 | 191 | 198 | 196 | 219 |
| Operating Profit | 198 | 236 | 254 | 285 | 309 | 362 | 378 | 359 | 384 | 421 | 461 | 497 | 502 |
| OPM % | 60% | 64% | 65% | 66% | 66% | 69% | 69% | 68% | 68% | 69% | 70% | 72% | 70% |
| Other Income + | 106 | 72 | 93 | 85 | 119 | 115 | 23 | 26 | 136 | 37 | 69 | -27 | 155 |
| Interest | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Depreciation | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| Profit before tax | 295 | 300 | 339 | 361 | 420 | 468 | 392 | 374 | 510 | 448 | 518 | 457 | 644 |
| Tax % | 24% | 22% | 22% | 10% | 25% | 27% | 24% | 21% | 24% | 24% | 25% | 16% | 24% |
| Net Profit + | 222 | 235 | 265 | 325 | 317 | 344 | 296 | 296 | 385 | 338 | 391 | 383 | 486 |
| EPS in Rs | 3.57 | 3.76 | 4.21 | 5.16 | 5.01 | 5.43 | 4.67 | 4.66 | 6.06 | 5.32 | 6.14 | 6.00 | 7.61 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation