AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 27 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 69 using growth durability 68.6.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 56 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 80 using mean target upside 23.2%; dispersion penalty 9.6; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 88 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 1 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. fundamentals and analyst consensus provide support, while market sentiment remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 20.3% above historical median. Valuation is rising — currently in the overvalued zone (z-score: +0.84). Confidence: 78%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹87.94. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹2,299.63 to ₹3,317.10, with base value near ₹2,670.74 (+6.2% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹87.94
Forward P/E
28.6x
Base Fair Value
₹2,670.74
Fair Range
₹2,299.63 - ₹3,317.10
Upside To Base
+6.2%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+11.8%
5Y Average
12.94
Current
11.67
Overvalued
13.88
Undervalued
12.15
5Y Average
24.43
Current
36.52
Overvalued
37.72
Undervalued
26.15
5Y Average
15.08
Current
22.55
Overvalued
19.73
Undervalued
8.98
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Financials · Theme: Asset Management
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ICICI PRUDENTIAL AMC LTD ICICIAMCAsset Management | +18.1% | 55.5% | 43.3x Undervalued | -19% vs avg | +18.1% |
NIPPON L I A M LTD NAM-INDIAAsset Management | +24.5% | 52.5% | 46.7x Fair | -12% vs avg | +46.9% |
BAJAJ HOLDINGS & INVS LTD BAJAJHLDNGAsset Management | +24.2% | 734.6% | 14.5x Undervalued | -73% vs avg | -19.8% |
ADIT BIRL SUN LIF AMC LTD ABSLAMCAsset Management | +10.6% | 47.6% | 28.8x Undervalued | -46% vs avg | +20.7% |
TATA INVESTMENT CORP LTD TATAINVESTAsset Management | +4.1% | 105.2% | 81.7x Premium | +53% vs avg | -0.2% |
ANAND RATHI WEALTH LTD ANANDRATHIAsset Management | +52.1% | 33.2% | 78.3x Premium | +47% vs avg | +52.5% |
JIO FIN SERVICES LTD JIOFINNBFC | +208.2% | 55.0% | 79.5x Premium | +49% vs avg | -22.3% |
HDFC AMC LIMITED trades at a discount (36.9x vs peer avg 53.3x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Asset Management cohort. Peers include ICICI PRUDENTIAL AMC LTD, NIPPON L I A M LTD, BAJAJ HOLDINGS & INVS LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹1.10K CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹838 CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹19.56Jun 2026Net margin
78.0%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 575 | 643 | 671 | 695 | 775 | 887 | 934 | 901 | 968 | 1,026 | 1,074 | 1,050 | 1,098 |
| Expenses + | 146 | 161 | 160 | 156 | 180 | 183 | 170 | 170 | 194 | 225 | 197 | 205 | 247 |
| Operating Profit | 429 | 482 | 511 | 539 | 595 | 704 | 764 | 731 | 774 | 801 | 877 | 846 | 852 |
| OPM % | 75% | 75% | 76% | 78% | 77% | 79% | 82% | 81% | 80% | 78% | 82% | 81% | 78% |
| Other Income + | 158 | 122 | 142 | 155 | 173 | 171 | 93 | 124 | 233 | 96 | 159 | 11 | 263 |
| Interest | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Depreciation | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| Profit before tax | 571 | 589 | 639 | 679 | 752 | 859 | 840 | 835 | 986 | 876 | 1,015 | 834 | 1,090 |
| Tax % | 16% | 26% | 23% | 20% | 20% | 33% | 24% | 24% | 24% | 18% | 24% | 25% | 23% |
| Net Profit + | 478 | 438 | 490 | 541 | 604 | 577 | 641 | 639 | 748 | 718 | 770 | 623 | 838 |
| EPS in Rs | 11.19 | 10.25 | 11.47 | 12.67 | 14.14 | 13.50 | 15.00 | 14.94 | 17.48 | 16.78 | 17.98 | 14.55 | 19.56 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Allotment of ESOP / ESPS