AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 4 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 9 using EVA spread proxy -6.2%; growth durability 0.0.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 83 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 42 using mean target upside 5.0%; dispersion penalty 18.4; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 42 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is skewing constructive on impact and recency. Based on 5 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Mixed. valuation and market sentiment provide support, while fundamentals and analyst consensus remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 23.1% below historical median. Valuation is declining — currently in the strongly undervalued zone (z-score: -1.07). Confidence: 71%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹9.82. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹740.53 to ₹996.24, with base value near ₹833.13 (+217.5% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹9.82
Forward P/E
26.7x
Base Fair Value
₹833.13
Fair Range
₹740.53 - ₹996.24
Upside To Base
+217.5%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
-72.5%
5Y Average
65.56
Current
65.27
Overvalued
101.45
Undervalued
75.41
5Y Average
31.66
Current
31.52
Overvalued
44.29
Undervalued
10.78
5Y Average
4.70
Current
3.79
Overvalued
5.40
Undervalued
3.99
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Industrials · Theme: Rail
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BEML LIMITED BEMLRail | +8.6% | 3.2% | 84.1x Fair | -10% vs avg | -4.7% |
TITAGARH RAIL SYSTEMS LTD TITAGARHRail | -12.9% | 3.9% | 94.1x Fair | 0% vs avg | +5.0% |
RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD RKFORGERail | +19.8% | 2.4% | 129.3x Premium | +38% vs avg | +24.3% |
LMW LIMITED LMWIndustrial Machinery | +24.0% | 5.2% | 106.2x Fair | +13% vs avg | +12.8% |
COCHIN SHIPYARD LIMITED COCHINSHIPShipbuilding | -15.6% | 14.3% | 55.0x Undervalued | -41% vs avg | -9.9% |
JUPITER WAGONS LIMITED trades at a discount (65.8x vs peer avg 93.7x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Rail cohort. Peers include BEML LIMITED, TITAGARH RAIL SYSTEMS LTD, RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹645 CrMar 2026Latest net profit
₹39 CrMar 2026Latest EPS
₹0.90Mar 2026Net margin
10.0%Mar 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Mar 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 712 | 753 | 879 | 896 | 1,113 | 895 | 974 | 1,000 | 1,002 | 411 | 707 | 776 | 645 |
| Expenses + | 619 | 656 | 758 | 771 | 965 | 766 | 840 | 859 | 857 | 360 | 619 | 682 | 578 |
| Operating Profit | 93 | 97 | 121 | 125 | 148 | 129 | 133 | 141 | 145 | 51 | 88 | 94 | 67 |
| OPM % | 13% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% |
| Other Income + | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| Interest | 9 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 12 |
| Depreciation | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Profit before tax | 79 | 85 | 109 | 111 | 139 | 117 | 118 | 131 | 131 | 43 | 71 | 78 | 54 |
| Tax % | 48% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | 29% |
| Net Profit + | 41 | 64 | 82 | 83 | 104 | 89 | 89 | 98 | 97 | 33 | 53 | 58 | 39 |
| EPS in Rs | 1.05 | 1.59 | 2.04 | 2.02 | 2.53 | 2.16 | 2.09 | 2.31 | 2.29 | 0.77 | 1.24 | 1.36 | 0.90 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Press Release / Media Release
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Press Release / Media Release
Our Intimation Dated August 03, 2026: Jupiter Wagons And Lucchini RS Forge Strategic India-Italy Railway Partnership To Build India''s First Fully Integrated Private-Sector Railwheel Manufacturing Platform
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Press Release / Media Release