AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 3 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 46 using EVA spread proxy -7.1%; growth durability 98.0.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 56 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 61 using mean target upside 7.7%; dispersion penalty 6.0; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 20 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 10 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Mixed. market sentiment provide support, while fundamentals and technical structure remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 6.4% above historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the fair zone (z-score: +0.44). Confidence: 80%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹71.00. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹4,851.43 to ₹6,291.31, with base value near ₹5,613.26 (+195.1% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹71.00
Forward P/E
26.8x
Base Fair Value
₹5,613.26
Fair Range
₹4,851.43 - ₹6,291.31
Upside To Base
+195.1%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
-37.5%
5Y Average
59.78
Current
84.14
Overvalued
88.61
Undervalued
68.33
5Y Average
36.03
Current
50.71
Overvalued
49.57
Undervalued
19.73
5Y Average
5.32
Current
5.40
Overvalued
6.12
Undervalued
4.52
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Industrials · Theme: Rail
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TITAGARH RAIL SYSTEMS LTD TITAGARHRail | -12.9% | 3.9% | 93.6x Premium | +36% vs avg | +9.2% |
JUPITER WAGONS LIMITED JWLRail | -25.3% | 5.9% | 65.8x Fair | -4% vs avg | -21.9% |
RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD RKFORGERail | +19.8% | 2.4% | 129.3x Premium | +88% vs avg | +24.3% |
BHARAT DYNAMICS LIMITED BDLAerospace & Defense Equipments | -73.0% | 17.2% | 112.0x Premium | +63% vs avg | -13.5% |
COCHIN SHIPYARD LIMITED COCHINSHIPShipbuilding | -15.6% | 14.3% | 55.5x Undervalued | -19% vs avg | -9.5% |
GARDEN REACH SHIP&ENG LTD GRSEShipbuilding | +38.5% | 10.7% | 36.9x Undervalued | -46% vs avg | +1.7% |
MMTC LIMITED MMTCCommodities Trading | +165.2% | 11360.1% | 24.8x Undervalued | -64% vs avg | +3.2% |
CONTAINER CORP OF IND LTD CONCORLogistics | +0.3% | 13.7% | 31.3x Undervalued | -54% vs avg | -6.7% |
BEML LIMITED trades at a premium (84.1x vs peer avg 68.6x), implying higher growth or quality expectations from the Rail cohort. Peers include TITAGARH RAIL SYSTEMS LTD, JUPITER WAGONS LIMITED, RAMKRISHNA FORGINGS LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹820 CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹-27 CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹-3.27Jun 2026Net margin
0.3%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 577 | 917 | 1,047 | 1,514 | 634 | 860 | 876 | 1,653 | 634 | 839 | 1,083 | 1,794 | 820 |
| Expenses + | 627 | 858 | 991 | 1,143 | 684 | 787 | 815 | 1,230 | 682 | 766 | 1,080 | 1,522 | 817 |
| Operating Profit | -50 | 59 | 56 | 370 | -50 | 73 | 60 | 423 | -48 | 73 | 4 | 272 | 2 |
| OPM % | -9% | 6% | 5% | 24% | -8% | 8% | 7% | 26% | -8% | 9% | 0.3% | 15% | 0.3% |
| Other Income + | 1 | 10 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| Interest | 10 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| Depreciation | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| Profit before tax | -75 | 42 | 67 | 348 | -75 | 55 | 30 | 395 | -70 | 50 | -26 | 245 | -34 |
| Tax % | 0% | -23% | 28% | 26% | -7% | 7% | 17% | 27% | -9% | -9% | -12% | 27% | -20% |
| Net Profit + | -75 | 52 | 48 | 257 | -70 | 51 | 25 | 288 | -64 | 55 | -23 | 179 | -27 |
| EPS in Rs | -8.96 | 6.26 | 5.81 | 30.87 | -8.41 | 6.17 | 2.97 | 34.58 | -7.67 | 6.58 | -2.73 | 21.53 | -3.27 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation