G

Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Ltd.

GMDCLTDNSE
Market snapshot · 2026-08-14 13:17 UTC

580.80

₹-12.45 (-2.10%)

MARKET CAP

₹18.47K Cr

STOCK P/E

19.3x

52W HIGH

₹771.90

52W LOW

₹400.00

BOOK VALUE

₹222.29

EPS

₹30.08

ROE

SECTOR

Materials

DEBT/EQUITY

4.48

VOLUME

9.05L

P/B RATIO

2.61x

PEG RATIO

-98.10

Sector

Materials

Themes

Mining - DiversifiedLithium
D
Dividend
₹736.90₹651.78₹566.65₹481.53₹396.40VolumeDAug '25Sep '25Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26

AI Summary

✦ Clartha

Forecast

Analyst targets, estimate history, and probabilistic forward ranges for GMDCLTD.

1.00 analysts

Price Forecast

Current
₹580.80
High Target
₹274.00
▼ -52.8%
Median Target
₹274.00
▼ -52.8%
Low Target
₹274.00
▼ -52.8%
Now₹580.80High ₹274.00Median ₹274.00Low ₹274.00Aug '25Now12M Target
Price history (1Y)
Analyst target range
1 analysts

Probabilistic Range

Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.

Time horizonRange ()Probability
3M₹369.67 - ₹708.3980%
6M₹284.66 - ₹714.1480%
12M₹182.65 - ₹670.7380%
Realized vol: +50.7% · Drift: -37.8%

Revenue Forecast

₹ Cr
Jun '26Current₹907.0
Sep 2026 ETrend estimate range
High₹600.6Base₹556.1Low₹511.6
Sep '25: ₹528.0 · Dec '25: ₹579.0 · Mar '26: ₹814.0 · Jun '26: ₹907.0 · Sep '26: ₹556.1 · Dec '26: ₹609.8
Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26Sep '26 EDec '26 E528.0579.0814.0907.0556.1609.8
PastCurrentTrend estimate: Low / Base / High

EPS Forecast

₹ / share
Jun '26Current₹5.13
Sep 2026 ETrend estimate range
High₹15.92Base₹14.22Low₹12.51
Sep '25: ₹14.79 · Dec '25: ₹4.25 · Mar '26: ₹6.96 · Jun '26: ₹5.13 · Sep '26: ₹14.22 · Dec '26: ₹4.09
Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26Sep '26 EDec '26 E14.794.256.965.1314.224.09
PastCurrentTrend estimate: Low / Base / High
Market Intelligence

Multi-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions

Overall Outlook
Mixed
40%
Analyst Consensus
Weakening

From 1 analysts

Mean upside-52.8%

Fundamentals

Moderate

Fundamentals institutional score is 61 using growth durability 61.2.

Valuation

Premium valuation

Valuation institutional score is 27 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.

Analyst Consensus

Weakening

Analyst View institutional score is 13 using mean target upside -52.8%; dispersion penalty 0; recommendation breadth from available consensus.

Technical Structure

Mixed Momentum

Technicals institutional score is 52 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.

Market Sentiment

Unavailable

This data source has not been supplied for the decision payload.

Signal Summary

Market intelligence remains Mixed. Available evidence provides partial support, while valuation and analyst consensus remain considerations.

Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.

Fundamentals ModerateValuation Premium valuationAnalyst Consensus WeakeningTechnical Structure Mixed Momentum

Key Data Points

Mean Target Price274 target
Mean Upside-52.8%
Technical Score52%
Fundamental Score61%
Data CoverageHigh

Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.

Valuation Metrics

Trading 49.7% above historical median. Valuation is rising — currently in the strongly overvalued zone (z-score: +1.25). Confidence: 71%.

Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹34.30. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹398.91 to ₹644.84, with base value near ₹449.67 (-22.6% vs current price).

Forward Valuation Outlook

Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.

Inside normalized range

Forward EPS

₹34.30

Forward P/E

16.9x

Base Fair Value

₹449.67

Fair Range

₹398.91 - ₹644.84

Upside To Base

-22.6%

Estimate Source

Live forward EPS

Growth Estimate

-0.2%

P/E
Strongly Overvalued

5Y Average

10.57

Current

19.62

Overvalued

18.80

Undervalued

11.63

EV/EBITDA
Strongly Overvalued

5Y Average

21.86

Current

40.60

Overvalued

27.80

Undervalued

10.04

P/B
Fair

5Y Average

2.50

Current

2.61

Overvalued

2.87

Undervalued

2.12

Peers & Comparison

Sector: Materials · Theme: Mining - Diversified

Mining - Diversified Peers3 peers
Avg P/E: 8.8x
CompanyRev. GrowthMarginP/Evs Avg52W Perf.
CENTRAL BANK OF INDIA
CENTRALBKMining - Diversified
-3.2%27.8%
6.2x
Undervalued
-30% vs avg
-13.2%
NMDC LTD.
NMDCMining - Iron Ore
+61.9%23.2%
10.0x
Fair
+14% vs avg
+22.5%
NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO LTD
NATIONALUMMetals - Aluminium
+39.3%34.9%
10.2x
Premium
+16% vs avg
+113.5%
WHY THESE PEERS

GUJARAT MINERAL DEV CORP trades at a premium (19.3x vs peer avg 8.8x), implying higher growth or quality expectations from the Mining - Diversified cohort. Peers include CENTRAL BANK OF INDIA, NMDC LTD., NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.

Financials

Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.

Latest revenue

₹907 CrJun 2026

Latest net profit

₹163 CrJun 2026

Latest EPS

₹5.13Jun 2026

Net margin

21.0%Jun 2026

Performance

Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.

Rs crore + margin %
Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '270.0%6.0%12.0%18.0%24.0%0.00 Cr250 Cr500 Cr750 Cr1.00K Cr
  • Revenue
  • Net income
  • Net margin %

Earnings

Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.

Rs crore + Rs/share
Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '270.00 Cr250 Cr500 Cr750 Cr1.00K Cr₹0₹4₹8₹12₹16
  • Revenue
  • EPS

Revenue to profit conversion

Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.

Rs crore
RevenueExpensesDepreciationOtheradjustmentsOperatingprofitOther incomeInterestOtheradjustmentsProfitbefore taxTax & otherNet Profit0.00 Cr250 Cr500 Cr750 Cr1.00K Cr

Latest reported period: Jun 2026

Debt level and coverage

Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.

Rs crore
Annual view
Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026-3.00K Cr0.00 Cr3.00K Cr6.00K Cr9.00K Cr
  • Debt
  • Free cash flow
  • Cash & equivalents

Results

MetricJun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales +766383564750818593653786733528579814907
Expenses +519330443561606451561592563454476684716
Operating Profit247531211892121429319417074103130191
OPM %32%14%21%25%26%24%14%25%23%14%18%16%21%
Other Income +6177607160621151177758310118576
Interest1111111001157
Depreciation19182022212126272222224933
Profit before tax288111161236250183180284225634182262227
Tax %25%31%27%21%26%29%18%21%27%26%26%16%28%
Net Profit +21676117186185129149225164470135221163
EPS in Rs6.782.403.695.865.804.064.687.095.1614.794.256.965.13
Raw PDF

All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).

Shareholding Pattern

HolderJun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Promoters +74.00%74.00%74.00%74.00%74.00%
FIIs +2.25%3.32%2.30%3.76%3.66%
DIIs +0.79%0.76%0.86%0.94%0.81%
Public +22.97%21.92%22.84%21.31%21.53%
Jun 2026
Promoters +
FIIs +
DIIs +
Public +

Events Timeline

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Newspaper Publication

Aug 01, 2026PDFCompany Reports Open

Quarterly Results For June 2026

Jul 31, 2026PDFCompany Reports Open

Quarterly Financial Results For Quarter Ended June 30 2026

Jul 31, 2026PDFCompany Reports Open

Board Meeting Intimation for Unaudited Quarterly Financial Results (Standalone And Consolidated)

Jul 22, 2026PDFCompany Reports Open

Announcement Under Regulation 30

Jul 15, 2026PDFCompany Reports Open