AI Summary
✦ ClarthaDeepak Fertilisers is an Indian bulk-chemicals and fertiliser manufacturer with a realty business. Chemicals, including ammonia, nitric acid, methanol, and technical ammonium nitrate, drive industrial demand. Bulk fertilisers add agricultural exposure, while realty remains a separate earnings stream. Revenue grew 11.5% year-on-year, but profit fell 21%, indicating cost or pricing pressure. The proposed ₹10 dividend offers shareholder distribution, but does not alter near-term earnings trends. Margins are declining, and ROE is unavailable, limiting assessment of capital efficiency. Debt-to-equity of 75.97 signals very high leverage, which can amplify financial costs and pressure returns. At 18.7 times earnings, valuation appears fair relative to the sector, but not discounted for balance-sheet risk. The key open question is whether chemicals and fertiliser profitability can recover without further leverage or margin erosion.
Price Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 2 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 23 using growth durability 22.7.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 39 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 93 using mean target upside 30.1%; dispersion penalty 4.4; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 24 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 3 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Mixed. analyst consensus provide support, while fundamentals and valuation remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 31.2% above historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the strongly overvalued zone (z-score: +1.1). Confidence: 66%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹111.50. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹934.37 to ₹1,972.44, with base value near ₹1,588.88 (+9.1% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹111.50
Forward P/E
13.1x
Base Fair Value
₹1,588.88
Fair Range
₹934.37 - ₹1,972.44
Upside To Base
+9.1%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+101.6%
5Y Average
11.45
Current
18.69
Overvalued
17.69
Undervalued
8.38
5Y Average
7.24
Current
11.81
Overvalued
10.13
Undervalued
4.69
5Y Average
2.69
Current
2.69
Overvalued
3.10
Undervalued
2.29
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Commodities
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AARTI INDUSTRIES LTD AARTIINDChemicals | +42.5% | 5.9% | 36.9x Fair | +2% vs avg | +32.0% |
SRF LTD SRFChemicals | +31.8% | 12.7% | 35.6x Fair | -2% vs avg | -9.6% |
DEEPAK FERTILIZERS & PETR trades at a discount (19.2x vs peer avg 36.2x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Commodities cohort. Peers include AARTI INDUSTRIES LTD, SRF LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹517 CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹68 CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹5.41Jun 2026Net margin
21.0%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 578 | 476 | 426 | 443 | 452 | 531 | 519 | 449 | 584 | 505 | 401 | 474 | 517 |
| Expenses + | 469 | 387 | 375 | 358 | 357 | 397 | 427 | 379 | 466 | 416 | 384 | 438 | 411 |
| Operating Profit | 109 | 89 | 51 | 85 | 95 | 134 | 92 | 69 | 118 | 89 | 17 | 36 | 106 |
| OPM % | 19% | 19% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 25% | 18% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 4.2% | 8% | 21% |
| Other Income + | 45 | 34 | 32 | 88 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 154 | 28 | 9 | 29 | 119 | 14 |
| Interest | 12 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| Depreciation | 17 | 17 | 19 | 28 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 21 |
| Profit before tax | 126 | 94 | 57 | 138 | 97 | 134 | 95 | 193 | 117 | 67 | 17 | 126 | 92 |
| Tax % | 25% | 31% | 25% | 18% | 26% | 25% | 30% | 9% | 26% | 25% | 36% | 3% | 26% |
| Net Profit + | 94 | 65 | 43 | 112 | 71 | 100 | 67 | 175 | 87 | 50 | 11 | 122 | 68 |
| EPS in Rs | 7.44 | 5.11 | 3.37 | 8.90 | 5.65 | 7.93 | 5.30 | 13.83 | 6.88 | 3.96 | 0.85 | 9.63 | 5.41 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Notice Of 46Th Annual General Meeting Scheduled On 1St September 2026 At 11:00 A.M.