AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 30 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 87 using growth durability 86.8.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 79 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 60 using mean target upside 14.8%; dispersion penalty 19.0; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 81 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 6 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. fundamentals and valuation provide support, while market sentiment remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 1.5% above historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the undervalued zone (z-score: -0.06). Confidence: 89%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹90.41. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹2,932.00 to ₹3,553.11, with base value near ₹3,169.77 (+22.3% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹90.41
Forward P/E
28.7x
Base Fair Value
₹3,169.77
Fair Range
₹2,932.00 - ₹3,553.11
Upside To Base
+22.3%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+75.6%
5Y Average
34.38
Current
35.60
Overvalued
39.30
Undervalued
32.43
5Y Average
19.14
Current
19.82
Overvalued
20.33
Undervalued
17.54
5Y Average
6.39
Current
5.47
Overvalued
7.35
Undervalued
5.43
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Materials · Theme: Diversified Chemicals
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GODREJ INDUSTRIES LTD GODREJINDDiversified Chemicals | +9.9% | 5.2% | 35.0x Fair | +2% vs avg | +19.7% |
BASF INDIA LTD BASFDiversified Chemicals | +24.5% | 4.0% | 28.4x Undervalued | -17% vs avg | -11.9% |
PI INDUSTRIES LTD PIINDDiversified Chemicals | -12.4% | 19.7% | 31.6x Fair | -8% vs avg | -27.7% |
PIDILITE INDUSTRIES LTD PIDILITINDDiversified Chemicals | +21.3% | 17.2% | 64.4x Premium | +87% vs avg | +7.0% |
TATA CHEMICALS LTD TATACHEMDiversified Chemicals | +14.4% | -14.3% | — | — | -29.2% |
ATUL LTD ATULDiversified Chemicals | +25.0% | 12.0% | 25.4x Undervalued | -26% vs avg | +5.0% |
HINDALCO INDUSTRIES LTD HINDALCOMetals - Aluminium | +32.1% | 5.5% | 14.4x Undervalued | -58% vs avg | +58.0% |
ULTRATECH CEMENT LIMITED ULTRACEMCOCement | +15.9% | 9.3% | 41.7x Premium | +21% vs avg | -3.3% |
SRF LTD trades in line with peers (35.8x vs avg 34.4x), reflecting a fair valuation within the Diversified Chemicals cohort. Peers include GODREJ INDUSTRIES LTD, BASF INDIA LTD, PI INDUSTRIES LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹2.95K CrDec 2025Latest net profit
₹432 CrDec 2025Latest EPS
₹15.45Dec 2025Net margin
20.6%Dec 2025Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Dec 2025
Results
| Metric | Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 3,142 | 2,774 | 2,587 | 2,506 | 2,920 | 2,736 | 2,704 | 2,762 | 3,496 | 3,040 | 2,853 | 2,952 |
| Expenses | 2,219 | 2,100 | 1,989 | 1,975 | 2,254 | 2,181 | 2,197 | 2,178 | 2,573 | 2,321 | 2,149 | 2,167 |
| Operating Profit | 797 | 545 | 465 | 390 | 513 | 400 | 348 | 425 | 766 | 554 | 534 | 609 |
| OPM % | 25.37% | 19.65% | 17.96% | 15.58% | 17.57% | 14.62% | 12.89% | 15.38% | 21.91% | 18.22% | 18.73% | 20.65% |
| Other Income | 33.65 | 20.97 | 38.11 | 27.79 | 32.55 | 35.07 | 43.55 | 52.78 | 43.57 | 39.5 | 30.05 | 33.19 |
| Interest | 81.35 | 74.9 | 86.91 | 66.22 | 86.5 | 98.83 | 88.6 | 102 | 120 | 60.37 | 81.78 | 89.91 |
| Depreciation | 126 | 129 | 133 | 141 | 153 | 155 | 158 | 159 | 158 | 166 | 170 | 176 |
| Profit before tax | 749 | 491 | 416 | 352 | 459 | 336 | 303 | 375 | 689 | 533 | 483 | 553 |
| Tax % | 23.59% | 25.59% | 25.75% | 26.05% | 26.14% | 25.68% | 25.79% | 25.82% | 25.83% | 25.51% | 24.85% | 21.88% |
| Net Profit | 573 | 365 | 309 | 260 | 339 | 250 | 225 | 278 | 511 | 397 | 363 | 432 |
| EPS in Rs | 19.59 | 12.33 | 10.42 | 8.87 | 14.75 | 8.43 | 7.59 | 9.44 | 17.31 | 13.39 | 12.23 | 15.45 |
All values in Rs. Crore unless otherwise stated. Source: CMIE Prowess, Quarterly Interim Standalone.