AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 24 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 80 using growth durability 80.3.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 54 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 52 using mean target upside 11.5%; dispersion penalty 17.4; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 68 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 12 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. fundamentals and technical structure provide support, while valuation and analyst consensus remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 10.3% above historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the overvalued zone (z-score: +0.62). Confidence: 84%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹56.64. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹394.78 to ₹472.94, with base value near ₹419.14 (+1.6% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹56.64
Forward P/E
7.3x
Base Fair Value
₹419.14
Fair Range
₹394.78 - ₹472.94
Upside To Base
+1.6%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+1.2%
5Y Average
5.76
Current
8.16
Overvalued
8.35
Undervalued
6.97
5Y Average
3.66
Current
5.18
Overvalued
4.90
Undervalued
2.21
5Y Average
2.30
Current
2.13
Overvalued
2.64
Undervalued
1.95
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Materials · Theme: Mining - Coal
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED HINDZINCMining - Diversified | +71.7% | 38.1% | 14.5x Undervalued | -54% vs avg | +40.5% |
PIDILITE INDUSTRIES LTD PIDILITINDDiversified Chemicals | +21.3% | 17.2% | 65.0x Premium | +105% vs avg | +8.7% |
NMDC LTD. NMDCMining - Iron Ore | +61.9% | 23.2% | 10.0x Undervalued | -68% vs avg | +20.5% |
NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO LTD NATIONALUMMetals - Aluminium | +39.3% | 34.9% | 11.5x Undervalued | -64% vs avg | +104.6% |
HINDUSTAN COPPER LTD HINDCOPPERMining - Copper | +58.1% | 29.8% | 57.4x Premium | +81% vs avg | +119.9% |
COAL INDIA LTD trades at a discount (8.2x vs peer avg 31.7x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Mining - Coal cohort. Peers include HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED, PIDILITE INDUSTRIES LTD, NMDC LTD. — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹345 CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹153 CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹0.25Jun 2026Net margin
39.0%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 336 | 294 | 399 | 488 | 390 | 315 | 416 | 473 | 355 | 296 | 417 | 490 | 345 |
| Expenses + | 151 | 185 | 162 | 263 | 288 | 185 | 252 | 349 | 197 | 215 | 360 | 344 | 211 |
| Operating Profit | 185 | 109 | 236 | 225 | 102 | 130 | 164 | 125 | 159 | 81 | 57 | 147 | 134 |
| OPM % | 55% | 37% | 59% | 46% | 26% | 41% | 39% | 26% | 45% | 27% | 14% | 30% | 39% |
| Other Income + | 805 | 2,149 | 9,167 | 3,212 | 32 | 3,961 | 9,548 | 3,087 | 30 | 8,311 | 4,877 | 5,752 | 99 |
| Interest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 7 | 7 |
| Depreciation | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 15 |
| Profit before tax | 978 | 2,246 | 9,392 | 3,426 | 121 | 4,079 | 9,699 | 3,198 | 175 | 8,367 | 4,905 | 5,871 | 211 |
| Tax % | 6% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 28% | -1% | 1% | 2% | 34% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 27% |
| Net Profit + | 918 | 2,196 | 9,316 | 3,336 | 87 | 4,134 | 9,646 | 3,149 | 116 | 8,342 | 4,872 | 5,534 | 153 |
| EPS in Rs | 1.49 | 3.56 | 15.12 | 5.41 | 0.14 | 6.71 | 15.65 | 5.11 | 0.19 | 13.54 | 7.91 | 8.98 | 0.25 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Notice Of 52Nd Annual General Meeting (AGM) Of Coal India Limited