AI Summary
✦ ClarthaTriveni Turbine is an industrial equipment manufacturer supplying steam turbines and thermal-management solutions. Backpressure and condensing turbines drive combined heat-and-power and generation revenue, while API turbines serve industrial drives, refineries, chemicals, petrochemicals, and fertilisers. Carbon-dioxide heat pumps and chillers add exposure to industrial cooling across food, pharmaceuticals, textiles, and other applications. With no major recent development, revenue growth remains moderate at 8.7%, while declining margins and a 2.1% profit contraction indicate limited operating leverage. ROE is high at 26.2%, but debt/equity of 2.48 means leverage materially supports returns and increases financial risk. Margin compression alongside profit decline warrants closer monitoring of project mix, input costs, and execution. At 57.8 times earnings, the shares look rich versus current growth and appear overvalued, rather than supported by accelerating earnings. The key open question is whether turbine and thermal-management demand can improve margins without further balance-sheet dependence.
Price Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 9 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 71 using growth durability 70.6.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 64 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 64 using mean target upside 14.5%; dispersion penalty 14.8; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 54 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 3 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. fundamentals and market sentiment provide support, while technical structure remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 11.5% above historical median. Valuation is declining — currently in the fair zone (z-score: +0.44). Confidence: 81%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹16.51. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹728.75 to ₹930.50, with base value near ₹807.17 (+34.4% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹16.51
Forward P/E
36.4x
Base Fair Value
₹807.17
Fair Range
₹728.75 - ₹930.50
Upside To Base
+34.4%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
-21.2%
5Y Average
39.62
Current
54.53
Overvalued
56.36
Undervalued
44.14
5Y Average
13.62
Current
13.18
Overvalued
15.06
Undervalued
13.03
5Y Average
6.14
Current
8.45
Overvalued
8.12
Undervalued
3.84
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Industrials · Theme: Heavy Electrical Equipments
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TD POWER SYSTEMS LTD. TDPOWERSYSHeavy Electrical Equipments | +69.2% | 12.9% | 80.6x Premium | +49% vs avg | +155.2% |
ELECON ENG. CO. LTD ELECONHeavy Electrical Equipments | +6.1% | 9.9% | 41.5x Undervalued | -23% vs avg | -19.7% |
VOLTAMP TRANSFORMERS LTD VOLTAMPHeavy Electrical Equipments | +28.4% | 13.9% | 31.3x Undervalued | -42% vs avg | +27.0% |
INOX GREEN ENERGY SER LTD INOXGREENHeavy Electrical Equipments | +80.0% | 40.8% | 66.6x Premium | +23% vs avg | +13.4% |
INOX WIND LIMITED INOXWINDHeavy Electrical Equipments | +5.5% | 7.8% | 29.7x Undervalued | -45% vs avg | -47.8% |
TRANS & RECTI. LTD TARILHeavy Electrical Equipments | +8.1% | 10.1% | 34.5x Undervalued | -36% vs avg | -43.2% |
COCHIN SHIPYARD LIMITED COCHINSHIPShipbuilding | -15.6% | 14.3% | 55.5x Fair | +2% vs avg | -9.5% |
TITAGARH RAIL SYSTEMS LTD TITAGARHRail | -12.9% | 3.9% | 93.6x Premium | +73% vs avg | +9.2% |
TRIVENI TURBINE LIMITED trades in line with peers (54.7x vs avg 54.2x), reflecting a fair valuation within the Heavy Electrical Equipments cohort. Peers include TD POWER SYSTEMS LTD., ELECON ENG. CO. LTD, VOLTAMP TRANSFORMERS LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹584 CrDec 2025Latest net profit
₹111 CrDec 2025Latest EPS
₹3.00Dec 2025Net margin
22.2%Dec 2025Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Dec 2025
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 287 | 301 | 327 | 368 | 382 | 395 | 469 | 441 | 490 | 345 | 479 | 584 |
| Expenses | 242 | 249 | 268 | 297 | 315 | 313 | 360 | 341 | 372 | 268 | 360 | 447 |
| Operating Profit | 40.58 | 47.85 | 53.83 | 66.2 | 62.6 | 77.24 | 104 | 93.9 | 113 | 70.8 | 112 | 130 |
| OPM % | 14.13% | 15.88% | 16.47% | 17.98% | 16.38% | 19.54% | 22.23% | 21.31% | 22.96% | 20.55% | 23.51% | 22.17% |
| Other Income | 10.94 | 10.88 | 12.02 | 14.9 | 18 | 16.79 | 17.6 | 20.3 | 17.7 | 18.9 | 15.2 | 16.3 |
| Interest | 0.51 | 0.74 | 0.59 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.85 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Depreciation | 4.78 | 4.68 | 4.91 | 5.3 | 5 | 4.98 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 6 | 6 | 6.1 | 7 |
| Profit before tax | 51.01 | 57.99 | 65.26 | 80.5 | 79.9 | 93.18 | 121 | 114 | 130 | 89 | 128 | 145 |
| Tax % | 26.99% | 25.23% | 25.57% | 27.08% | 26.91% | 25.5% | 25.68% | 25.18% | 27.81% | 24.72% | 25.1% | 23.62% |
| Net Profit | 37.24 | 43.36 | 48.57 | 58.7 | 58.4 | 69.42 | 90 | 85.3 | 93.7 | 67 | 95.5 | 111 |
| EPS in Rs | 1.16 | 1.36 | 1.53 | 1.85 | 1.84 | 2.18 | 2.83 | 3.81 | 2.96 | 2.11 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
All values in Rs. Crore unless otherwise stated. Source: CMIE Prowess, Quarterly Interim Standalone.