T

Thermax Limited

THERMAXNSE
Market snapshot · 2026-08-10 20:28 UTC

4,052.20

₹-7.70 (-0.19%)

MARKET CAP

₹45.65K Cr

STOCK P/E

76.8x

52W HIGH

₹5,277.80

52W LOW

₹2,742.70

BOOK VALUE

₹492.56

EPS

₹52.78

ROE

SECTOR

Industrials

DEBT/EQUITY

42.17

VOLUME

91,937

P/B RATIO

8.23x

PEG RATIO

-0.92

Sector

Industrials

Themes

Industrial Machinery
D
Dividend
E
Earnings
₹4,962.43₹4,430.35₹3,898.28₹3,366.20₹2,834.12VolumeEEEDEAug '25Sep '25Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26

AI Summary

✦ Clartha

Thermax is an industrial solutions company serving energy, environmental, and chemical markets. Industrial Products drives revenue through boilers, heating equipment, chillers, pollution-control systems, and water-treatment services. Industrial Infra adds EPC projects for power plants, infrastructure, and flue-gas desulphurisation. June 2026 consolidated sales rose 7.1% year-on-year, accelerating from 3.6% annual revenue growth and supporting improving margins. Profit growth of 13.6% exceeds revenue growth, indicating operating leverage and better earnings conversion. However, ROE is unavailable, while debt-to-equity of 42.17 implies leverage can amplify shareholder returns and financial risk. At 76.9 times earnings, the stock is expensive relative to its modest growth rate and faces negative market sentiment. The valuation is rich, with execution across EPC projects and margin durability remaining key open questions.

Forecast

Analyst targets, estimate history, and probabilistic forward ranges for THERMAX.

21.00 analysts

Price Forecast

Current
₹4,052
High Target
₹5,325
▲ +31.4%
Median Target
₹4,262
▲ +5.2%
Low Target
₹3,300
▼ -18.6%
Now₹4,052High ₹5,325Median ₹4,262Low ₹3,300Aug '25Now12M Target
Price history (1Y)
Analyst target range
21 analysts

Probabilistic Range

Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.

Time horizonRange ()Probability
3M₹3,299 - ₹5,15280%
6M₹3,061 - ₹5,74980%
12M₹2,780 - ₹6,78080%
Realized vol: +34.8% · Drift: +13.0%

Revenue Forecast

₹ Cr
Dec '25Current₹1,599.0
Sep 2026 ETrend estimate range
High₹1,623.0Base₹1,502.8Low₹1,382.6
Mar '25: ₹1,972.0 · Jun '25: ₹1,189.0 · Sep '25: ₹1,505.0 · Dec '25: ₹1,599.0 · Sep '26: ₹1,502.8 · Dec '26: ₹1,596.7
Mar '25Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Sep '26 EDec '26 E1,972.01,189.01,505.01,599.01,502.81,596.7
PastCurrentTrend estimate: Low / Base / High

EPS Forecast

₹ / share
Dec '25Current₹14.73
Sep 2026 ETrend estimate range
High₹30.68Base₹27.39Low₹24.10
Mar '25: ₹23.09 · Jun '25: ₹3.90 · Sep '25: ₹18.96 · Dec '25: ₹14.73 · Sep '26: ₹27.39 · Dec '26: ₹21.28
Mar '25Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Sep '26 EDec '26 E23.093.9018.9614.7327.3921.28
PastCurrentTrend estimate: Low / Base / High
Market Intelligence

Multi-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions

Overall Outlook
Mixed
47%
Analyst Consensus
Weakening

From 21 analysts

Mean upside+8.4%

Fundamentals

Moderate

Fundamentals institutional score is 65 using growth durability 65.4.

Valuation

Fairly valued

Valuation institutional score is 56 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.

Analyst Consensus

Weakening

Analyst View institutional score is 44 using mean target upside 8.4%; dispersion penalty 18.4; recommendation breadth from available consensus.

Technical Structure

Weak Structure

Technicals institutional score is 20 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.

Market Sentiment

Sentiment weakening

Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 9 recent ticker-linked news items.

Signal Summary

Market intelligence remains Mixed. fundamentals provide support, while analyst consensus and technical structure remain considerations.

Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.

Fundamentals ModerateValuation Fairly valuedAnalyst Consensus WeakeningTechnical Structure Weak StructureMarket Sentiment Sentiment weakening

Key Data Points

Mean Target Price4,392 target
Mean Upside+8.4%
Technical Score20%
Fundamental Score65%
Data CoverageHigh

Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.

Valuation Metrics

Trading 17.9% above historical median. Valuation is rising — currently in the fair zone (z-score: +0.37). Confidence: 78%.

Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹89.41. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹5,259.99 to ₹7,619.52, with base value near ₹5,834.90 (+44.0% vs current price).

Forward Valuation Outlook

Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.

Below normalized range

Forward EPS

₹89.41

Forward P/E

45.3x

Base Fair Value

₹5,834.90

Fair Range

₹5,259.99 - ₹7,619.52

Upside To Base

+44.0%

Estimate Source

Live forward EPS

Growth Estimate

-83.4%

P/E
Fair

5Y Average

58.85

Current

76.92

Overvalued

85.22

Undervalued

58.83

EV/EBITDA
Overvalued

5Y Average

39.90

Current

52.05

Overvalued

50.68

Undervalued

27.41

P/B
Fair

5Y Average

7.82

Current

8.23

Overvalued

8.24

Undervalued

7.15

Peers & Comparison

Sector: Industrials · Theme: Industrial Machinery

Industrial Machinery Peers8 peers
Avg P/E: 64.6x
CompanyRev. GrowthMarginP/Evs Avg52W Perf.
LMW LIMITED
LMWIndustrial Machinery
+24.0%5.2%
108.2x
Premium
+67% vs avg
+12.1%
INGERSOLL-RAND INDIA LTD
INGERRANDIndustrial Machinery
-3.7%18.4%
52.6x
Undervalued
-19% vs avg
+18.5%
CUMMINS INDIA LTD
CUMMINSINDIndustrial Machinery
+17.9%18.7%
64.0x
Fair
-1% vs avg
+43.1%
CRAFTSMAN AUTOMATION LTD
CRAFTSMANIndustrial Machinery
+36.3%5.3%
53.0x
Undervalued
-18% vs avg
+52.8%
GRINDWELL NORTON LIMITED
GRINDWELLIndustrial Machinery
+14.2%13.8%
53.6x
Undervalued
-17% vs avg
+43.1%
KIRLOSKAR BROTHERS LTD
KIRLOSBROSIndustrial Machinery
+12.9%8.0%
41.3x
Undervalued
-36% vs avg
+1.5%
AIA ENGINEERING LIMITED
AIAENGIndustrial Machinery
+9.4%28.7%
35.2x
Undervalued
-46% vs avg
+53.4%
CARBORUNDUM UNIVERSAL LTD
CARBORUNIVIndustrial Machinery
+20.7%3.8%
108.7x
Premium
+68% vs avg
+29.2%
WHY THESE PEERS

THERMAX LTD trades at a premium (76.8x vs peer avg 64.6x), implying higher growth or quality expectations from the Industrial Machinery cohort. Peers include LMW LIMITED, INGERSOLL-RAND INDIA LTD, CUMMINS INDIA LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.

Financials

Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.

Latest revenue

₹1.60K CrDec 2025

Latest net profit

₹90 CrDec 2025

Latest EPS

₹14.73Dec 2025

Net margin

7.0%Dec 2025

Performance

Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.

Rs crore + margin %
Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '260.0%3.0%6.0%9.0%12.0%0.00 Cr500 Cr1.00K Cr1.50K Cr2.00K Cr
  • Revenue
  • Net income
  • Net margin %

Earnings

Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.

Rs crore + Rs/share
Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '260.00 Cr500 Cr1.00K Cr1.50K Cr2.00K Cr₹0₹6₹12₹18₹24
  • Revenue
  • EPS

Revenue to profit conversion

Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.

Rs crore
RevenueExpensesDepreciationOperatingprofitOther incomeInterestProfitbefore taxTax & otherNet Profit0.00 Cr400 Cr800 Cr1.20K Cr1.60K Cr

Latest reported period: Dec 2025

Debt level and coverage

Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.

Rs crore
Annual view
20212022202320242025-500 Cr0.00 Cr500 Cr1.00K Cr1.50K Cr
  • Debt
  • Free cash flow
  • Cash & equivalents

Results

MetricMar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025
Sales1,4901,1611,4441,4801,7381,3111,5231,4531,9721,1891,5051,599
Expenses1,3441,0771,3031,3591,6031,2391,3961,3421,7551,1341,3991,460
Operating Profit12866.2112410311553.6210791.5119630.4780.37112
OPM %8.56%5.7%8.56%6.96%6.65%4.09%7%6.3%9.96%2.56%5.34%7%
Other Income45.9549.1557.7934.751.8568.5337.4840.8755.6534.8517838.7
Interest6.845.325.616.166.755.978.38.498.643.45.018.49
Depreciation18.1717.5317.7517.9819.4818.7920.3118.9320.3624.1625.6327.02
Profit before tax16711017613216111613612424361.92253142
Tax %31.03%14.11%21.62%43.38%19.94%25.99%20.56%16.72%25.53%24.95%10.85%36.6%
Net Profit11594.5113874.512985.9810810318146.4722690.1
EPS in Rs10.253.685.4116.8410.797.229.068.6623.093.9018.9614.73

All values in Rs. Crore unless otherwise stated. Source: CMIE Prowess, Quarterly Interim Standalone.

Shareholding Pattern

HolderMar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026
Promoters61.98%61.98%61.98%61.98%61.98%
FII15.86%16.02%13.44%12.36%11.25%
DII17.72%17.21%19.41%20.30%20.95%
Public3.71%3.99%4.26%4.52%4.90%
Others0.73%0.80%0.91%0.84%0.92%
Mar 2026
Promoters
FII
DII
Public
Others

Events Timeline

Concall Transcript - FY2027

Jul 21, 2026PDFKnowledge Base Open

Concall Transcript - FY2027

May 25, 2026PDFKnowledge Base Open

Financial Results - FY2027

May 21, 2026PDFKnowledge Base Open

Concall Transcript - FY2027

May 12, 2026PDFKnowledge Base Open

Concall Transcript - FY2027

May 08, 2026PDFKnowledge Base Open