AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 27 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 24 using growth durability 24.2.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 49 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 75 using mean target upside 24.5%; dispersion penalty 11.2; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 70 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Supplied data did not include a numeric score.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Mixed. analyst consensus and technical structure provide support, while fundamentals and valuation remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 1.2% below historical median. Valuation is rising — currently in the fair zone (z-score: +0.14). Confidence: 91%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹23.91. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹1,399.45 to ₹1,601.97, with base value near ₹1,537.65 (+42.6% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹23.91
Forward P/E
45.1x
Base Fair Value
₹1,537.65
Fair Range
₹1,399.45 - ₹1,601.97
Upside To Base
+42.6%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+27.9%
5Y Average
55.54
Current
63.56
Overvalued
67.00
Undervalued
58.53
5Y Average
34.95
Current
40.00
Overvalued
40.46
Undervalued
28.93
5Y Average
4.47
Current
5.11
Overvalued
5.14
Undervalued
3.80
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Consumer Staples · Theme: Tea & Coffee
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VARUN BEVERAGES LIMITED VBLSoft Drinks | +20.4% | 14.0% | 43.6x Fair | 0% vs avg | -13.4% |
TATA CONSUMER PRODUCT LTD trades at a premium (63.6x vs peer avg 43.6x), implying higher growth or quality expectations from the Tea & Coffee cohort. Peers include VARUN BEVERAGES LIMITED — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹3.68K CrDec 2025Latest net profit
₹302 CrDec 2025Latest EPS
₹3.24Dec 2025Net margin
11.5%Dec 2025Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Dec 2025
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 2,312 | 2,420 | 2,631 | 2,629 | 2,773 | 3,202 | 3,046 | 3,200 | 3,354 | 3,529 | 3,595 | 3,684 |
| Expenses | 1,944 | 2,046 | 2,236 | 2,204 | 2,493 | 2,790 | 2,703 | 2,885 | 3,054 | 3,127 | 3,159 | 3,201 |
| Operating Profit | 326 | 331 | 333 | 371 | 233 | 358 | 290 | 261 | 245 | 349 | 381 | 424 |
| OPM % | 14.09% | 13.69% | 12.65% | 14.12% | 8.41% | 11.19% | 9.52% | 8.15% | 7.31% | 9.89% | 10.59% | 11.52% |
| Other Income | 50.18 | 40.12 | 56.5 | 40.6 | 90.53 | 11.08 | 20.1 | 411 | 135 | 478 | 28.5 | 14.65 |
| Interest | 5.28 | 10.54 | 13.71 | 15.84 | 31.64 | 76.5 | 73.59 | 31.8 | 20.72 | 20.99 | 24.75 | 22.12 |
| Depreciation | 42.09 | 42.31 | 61.86 | 54.12 | 47.08 | 53.44 | 53.22 | 54.17 | 55.16 | 53.24 | 55.49 | 59.06 |
| Profit before tax | 371 | 361 | 376 | 396 | 292 | 293 | 236 | 640 | 360 | 806 | 385 | 417 |
| Tax % | 22.82% | 25.9% | 26.93% | 24.02% | 29.84% | 33.56% | 0.28% | 10.95% | 22.76% | 11.38% | 25.85% | 27.44% |
| Net Profit | 286 | 268 | 274 | 301 | 205 | 195 | 236 | 570 | 278 | 714 | 285 | 302 |
| EPS in Rs | 2.86 | 2.75 | 2.73 | 2.97 | 1.56 | 1.92 | 2.29 | 5.76 | 2.80 | 7.22 | 2.88 | 3.24 |
All values in Rs. Crore unless otherwise stated. Source: CMIE Prowess, Quarterly Interim Standalone.