AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 1 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 43 using EVA spread proxy -0.8%; growth durability 40.2.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 80 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 36 using mean target upside -6.3%; dispersion penalty 0; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 34 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 5 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Mixed. valuation and market sentiment provide support, while fundamentals and analyst consensus remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 13.1% below historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the strongly undervalued zone (z-score: -0.99). Confidence: 85%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹21.80. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹409.19 to ₹500.53, with base value near ₹450.39 (+91.0% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹21.80
Forward P/E
10.8x
Base Fair Value
₹450.39
Fair Range
₹409.19 - ₹500.53
Upside To Base
+91.0%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
-24.6%
5Y Average
17.00
Current
17.96
Overvalued
22.96
Undervalued
18.77
5Y Average
9.76
Current
10.31
Overvalued
12.38
Undervalued
6.69
5Y Average
2.29
Current
1.95
Overvalued
2.63
Undervalued
1.95
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Materials · Theme: Iron & Steel
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JAYASWAL NECO INDUSTR LTD JAYNECOINDIron & Steel | +27.7% | 7.4% | 16.0x Undervalued | -92% vs avg | +52.5% |
NAVA LIMITED NAVAIron & Steel | +12.2% | 18.3% | 20.4x Undervalued | -90% vs avg | -7.2% |
GODAWARI POW & ISP LTD GPILIron & Steel | +34.8% | 13.9% | 18.7x Undervalued | -91% vs avg | +19.6% |
BANSAL WIRE INDUSTRIES L BANSALWIREIron & Steel | +24.4% | 3.2% | 35.2x Undervalued | -82% vs avg | -12.1% |
JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD JAIBALAJIIron & Steel | +9.8% | 2.2% | 47.1x Undervalued | -77% vs avg | -34.2% |
GALLANTT ISPAT LIMITED GALLANTTIron & Steel | — | 11.1% | 29.6x Undervalued | -85% vs avg | -16.7% |
KIOCL LIMITED KIOCLIron & Steel | -10.6% | 2.7% | 1396.1x Premium | +595% vs avg | +16.8% |
LLOYDS ENTERPRISES LTD LLOYDSENTIron & Steel | +47.1% | 16.1% | 45.2x Undervalued | -78% vs avg | +18.9% |
SURYA ROSHNI LTD trades at a discount (18.0x vs peer avg 201.0x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Iron & Steel cohort. Peers include JAYASWAL NECO INDUSTR LTD, NAVA LIMITED, GODAWARI POW & ISP LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹1.93K CrDec 2025Latest net profit
₹80 CrDec 2025Latest EPS
₹3.66Dec 2025Net margin
5.8%Dec 2025Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Dec 2025
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 2,151 | 1,875 | 1,916 | 1,938 | 2,080 | 1,893 | 1,529 | 1,868 | 2,146 | 1,604 | 1,845 | 1,927 |
| Expenses | 1,899 | 1,761 | 1,778 | 1,783 | 1,915 | 1,742 | 1,452 | 1,718 | 1,943 | 1,535 | 1,727 | 1,782 |
| Operating Profit | 224 | 85.67 | 108 | 124 | 136 | 120 | 45.34 | 119 | 171 | 37.99 | 86.12 | 112 |
| OPM % | 10.39% | 4.57% | 5.65% | 6.43% | 6.56% | 6.36% | 2.97% | 6.39% | 7.98% | 2.37% | 4.67% | 5.8% |
| Other Income | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.48 | 3.73 | 6.87 | 7.6 | 8.96 | 5.9 | 9.02 | 12.76 | 22.51 | 2.73 |
| Interest | 9.88 | 6.36 | 6.41 | 7.28 | 4 | 4.89 | 6.44 | 4.57 | 4.83 | 5.12 | 9.09 | 7.1 |
| Depreciation | 28.83 | 28.78 | 28.99 | 30.08 | 29.42 | 30.38 | 30.9 | 30.32 | 31.14 | 31.78 | 32.08 | 33.21 |
| Profit before tax | 215 | 81.01 | 103 | 121 | 139 | 123 | 47.86 | 121 | 175 | 45.63 | 99.54 | 107 |
| Tax % | 27.73% | 27.08% | 26.57% | 25.56% | 25.43% | 24.99% | 24.66% | 25.52% | 25.87% | 26.36% | 25.53% | 25.81% |
| Net Profit | 156 | 59.07 | 75.88 | 90.03 | 104 | 92.41 | 36.06 | 89.87 | 130 | 33.6 | 74.13 | 79.64 |
| EPS in Rs | 14.51 | 10.98 | 7.05 | 8.33 | 4.80 | 8.52 | 3.32 | 4.13 | 5.98 | 1.54 | 3.41 | 3.66 |
All values in Rs. Crore unless otherwise stated. Source: CMIE Prowess, Quarterly Interim Standalone.