S

SML MAHINDRA LIMITED

SMLMAHNSE
Market snapshot · 2026-08-10 20:19 UTC

5,227.00

₹-327.00 (-5.89%)

MARKET CAP

₹7.56K Cr

STOCK P/E

48.3x

52W HIGH

₹5,987.90

52W LOW

₹2,719.00

BOOK VALUE

₹358.87

EPS

₹108.30

ROE

SECTOR

Industrials

DEBT/EQUITY

55.67

VOLUME

1.49L

P/B RATIO

14.57x

PEG RATIO

Sector

Industrials

Themes

Trucks & BusesTruckVanaja Sundar Iyer Portfolio
D
Dividend
₹5,685.60₹4,951.47₹4,217.34₹3,483.21₹2,749.08VolumeDAug '25Sep '25Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26

AI Summary

✦ Clartha

SML Mahindra Limited is an Indian commercial-vehicle manufacturer selling trucks, buses, and special-application vehicles. Trucks and buses drive core revenue, while special-application vehicles and related parts extend product coverage across fleet owners, institutions, government agencies, and international distributors. Its October 2025 rebranding and Mahindra subsidiary status may improve distribution access, but no quantified margin effect is disclosed. Revenue grew 18.3% year-on-year, while profit increased 31.3%, with margins stable. ROE is unavailable, while debt-to-equity of 55.67 indicates substantial leverage that can amplify reported shareholder returns and financial risk. Earnings growth currently exceeds revenue growth, suggesting operating leverage despite unchanged margins. At 51.3 times earnings, the shares appear rich and trade at a premium to their 18.3% revenue growth rate. The key open question is whether Mahindra’s ownership can sustain growth without increasing leverage or compressing margins.

Forecast

Analyst targets, estimate history, and probabilistic forward ranges for SMLMAH.

Coverage check

Price Forecast

Current
₹5,227
High Target
Median Target
Low Target
Now₹5,227Aug '25Now12M Target
Price history (1Y)
Analyst target range

Probabilistic Range

Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.

Time horizonRange ()Probability
3M₹3,802 - ₹7,96180%
6M₹3,434 - ₹9,76580%
12M₹3,064 - ₹13,43180%
Realized vol: +57.7% · Drift: +37.1%

Revenue Forecast

₹ Cr
Mar '26Current₹898.0
Sep 2026 ETrend estimate range
High₹758.7Base₹702.5Low₹646.3
Jun '25: ₹846.0 · Sep '25: ₹555.0 · Dec '25: ₹539.0 · Mar '26: ₹898.0 · Sep '26: ₹702.5 · Dec '26: ₹682.2
Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Sep '26 EDec '26 E846.0555.0539.0898.0702.5682.2
PastCurrentTrend estimate: Low / Base / High

EPS Forecast

₹ / share
Mar '26Current₹37.46
Sep 2026 ETrend estimate range
High₹24.44Base₹21.83Low₹19.21
Jun '25: ₹46.27 · Sep '25: ₹14.55 · Dec '25: ₹12.11 · Mar '26: ₹37.46 · Sep '26: ₹21.83 · Dec '26: ₹18.17
Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Sep '26 EDec '26 E46.2714.5512.1137.4621.8318.17
PastCurrentTrend estimate: Low / Base / High
Analyst price target unavailable from FMP/yfinance. Analyst pillar unavailable from FMP/yfinance.
Market Intelligence

Multi-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions

Overall Outlook
Cautious
33%
Analyst Consensus
Unavailable

Analyst coverage unavailable

Mean upsideNot available

Fundamentals

Moderate

Fundamentals institutional score is 61 using growth durability 60.6.

Valuation

Premium valuation

Valuation institutional score is 0 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.

Analyst Consensus

Unavailable

No usable analyst target or recommendation data was available.

Technical Structure

Weak Structure

Technicals institutional score is 0 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.

Market Sentiment

Neutral backdrop

Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 1 recent ticker-linked news items.

Signal Summary

Market intelligence remains Cautious. Available evidence provides partial support, while valuation and technical structure remain considerations.

Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.

Fundamentals ModerateValuation Premium valuationTechnical Structure Weak StructureMarket Sentiment Neutral backdrop

Key Data Points

Mean Target PriceUnavailable
Mean UpsideNot available
Technical Score0%
Fundamental Score61%
Data CoverageMedium

Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.

Valuation Metrics

Trading 175.7% above historical median. Valuation is rising — currently in the strongly overvalued zone (z-score: +2.75). Confidence: 53%.

Forward Valuation Outlook

Forward outlook is unavailable because live next-12-month estimate data is not available for this ticker right now.

P/E
Strongly Overvalued

5Y Average

16.95

Current

51.28

Overvalued

33.74

Undervalued

13.83

EV/EBITDA
Strongly Overvalued

5Y Average

10.19

Current

29.04

Overvalued

12.18

Undervalued

4.08

P/S
Strongly Overvalued

5Y Average

0.90

Current

2.56

Overvalued

1.04

Undervalued

0.77

Peers & Comparison

Sector: Industrials · Theme: Trucks & Buses

Trucks & Buses Peers1 peer
Avg P/E: 63.3x
CompanyRev. GrowthMarginP/Evs Avg52W Perf.
OLECTRA GREENTECH LIMITED
OLECTRAElectrical Components & Equipments
+43.3%2.0%
63.3x
Fair
0% vs avg
-2.4%
WHY THESE PEERS

SML MAHINDRA LIMITED trades at a discount (48.3x vs peer avg 63.3x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Trucks & Buses cohort. Peers include OLECTRA GREENTECH LIMITED — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.

Financials

Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.

Latest revenue

₹898 CrMar 2026

Latest net profit

₹54 CrMar 2026

Latest EPS

₹37.46Mar 2026

Net margin

8.6%Mar 2026

Performance

Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.

Rs crore + margin %
Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '260.0%3.0%6.0%9.0%12.0%0.00 Cr250 Cr500 Cr750 Cr1.00K Cr
  • Revenue
  • Net income
  • Net margin %

Earnings

Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.

Rs crore + Rs/share
Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '260.00 Cr250 Cr500 Cr750 Cr1.00K Cr₹0₹15₹30₹45₹60
  • Revenue
  • EPS

Revenue to profit conversion

Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.

Rs crore
RevenueExpensesDepreciationOperatingprofitOther incomeInterestProfitbefore taxTax & otherNet Profit0.00 Cr250 Cr500 Cr750 Cr1.00K Cr

Latest reported period: Mar 2026

Results

MetricMar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026
Sales583632499386680746550332771846555539898
Expenses540585459364608665505313681741513498807
Operating Profit32.8235.0727.469.7659.168.932.736.2278.3592.5829.0327.7577.01
OPM %5.63%5.55%5.51%2.53%8.7%9.23%5.95%1.87%10.16%10.94%5.23%5.15%8.58%
Other Income1.642.20.220.972.021.161.551.631.722.062.121.562.58
Interest9.395.226.537.8810.728.15.757.18.935.092.875.796.99
Depreciation10.4311.6411.7412.0412.112.0812.0712.1112.0912.4312.8913.3413.37
Profit before tax25.0732.0521.152.8550.461.9628.530.7571.1489.5528.2823.5272.6
Tax %-5.94%0.81%0.28%5.96%-3.97%25.13%24.68%29.33%25.57%25.23%25.57%25.43%25.34%
Net Profit26.5631.7921.092.6852.446.3921.490.5352.9566.9621.0517.5454.2
EPS in Rs18.5221.9714.571.8636.1432.0615.060.3636.6046.2714.5512.1137.46

All values in Rs. Crore unless otherwise stated. Source: CMIE Prowess, Quarterly Interim Standalone.

Shareholding Pattern

HolderMar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026
Promoters43.96%43.96%58.97%58.97%58.97%
FII0.24%0.73%1.80%0.61%0.77%
DII15.04%15.29%0.63%0.64%1.56%
Public36.23%34.45%33.21%33.74%32.50%
Others4.53%5.57%5.39%6.04%6.20%
Mar 2026
Promoters
FII
DII
Public
Others