AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 2 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 94 using growth durability 93.7.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 63 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 90 using mean target upside 22.3%; dispersion penalty 4.1; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 46 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 3 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. fundamentals and analyst consensus provide support, while technical structure and market sentiment remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 15.4% above historical median. Valuation is rising — currently in the overvalued zone (z-score: +0.83). Confidence: 82%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹17.45. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹475.86 to ₹619.48, with base value near ₹554.04 (+27.1% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹17.45
Forward P/E
25.0x
Base Fair Value
₹554.04
Fair Range
₹475.86 - ₹619.48
Upside To Base
+27.1%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+10.0%
5Y Average
28.34
Current
36.63
Overvalued
35.50
Undervalued
27.27
5Y Average
19.33
Current
24.99
Overvalued
22.91
Undervalued
16.37
5Y Average
5.88
Current
5.21
Overvalued
6.76
Undervalued
5.00
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Materials · Theme: Paints
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INDIGO PAINTS LIMITED INDIGOPNTSPaints | +9.7% | 10.3% | 36.9x Fair | -6% vs avg | +2.4% |
KINGFA SCI & TEC IND LTD. KINGFACommodity Chemicals | +23.2% | 9.3% | 41.4x Fair | +6% vs avg | +58.3% |
SIRCA PAINT INDIA LIMITED trades in line with peers (36.6x vs avg 39.1x), reflecting a fair valuation within the Paints cohort. Peers include INDIGO PAINTS LIMITED, KINGFA SCI & TEC IND LTD. — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹113 CrDec 2025Latest net profit
₹15 CrDec 2025Latest EPS
₹2.69Dec 2025Net margin
18.0%Dec 2025Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Dec 2025
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 68.27 | 72.99 | 83.6 | 72.49 | 82.63 | 78.64 | 105 | 88.65 | 101 | 114 | 131 | 113 |
| Expenses | 55.15 | 55.61 | 62.32 | 58.73 | 66.38 | 64.56 | 86.51 | 73.2 | 81.94 | 91.67 | 104 | 89.78 |
| Operating Profit | 11.87 | 16.12 | 19.69 | 12.2 | 14.7 | 12.52 | 17.13 | 13.65 | 17.21 | 20.09 | 24.78 | 20.29 |
| OPM % | 17.39% | 22.09% | 23.55% | 16.83% | 17.79% | 15.92% | 16.24% | 15.4% | 17.05% | 17.59% | 18.89% | 17.99% |
| Other Income | 1.12 | 1.44 | 1.2 | 1.63 | 2.09 | 1.42 | 0.84 | 1.9 | 1 | 0.21 | 1.04 | 1.39 |
| Interest | — | — | — | 0.01 | — | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.16 | 1.1 | 1.36 | 1.26 |
| Depreciation | 1.25 | 1.26 | 1.59 | 1.56 | 1.55 | 1.56 | 1.82 | 1.8 | 1.77 | 2.48 | 2.62 | 2.72 |
| Profit before tax | 12.99 | 17.56 | 20.89 | 13.82 | 16.79 | 13.93 | 17.96 | 15.54 | 18.05 | 19.2 | 24.46 | 20.42 |
| Tax % | 26.94% | 26.54% | 25.75% | 23.95% | 25.49% | 26.7% | 26.06% | 26.25% | 21.55% | 25.99% | 26% | 26.4% |
| Net Profit | 9.49 | 12.9 | 15.51 | 10.51 | 12.51 | 10.21 | 13.28 | 11.46 | 14.16 | 14.21 | 18.1 | 15.03 |
| EPS in Rs | 1.73 | 2.35 | 2.83 | 1.92 | 2.28 | 1.86 | 2.42 | 2.09 | 2.58 | 2.59 | 3.24 | 2.69 |
All values in Rs. Crore unless otherwise stated. Source: CMIE Prowess, Quarterly Interim Standalone.