AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 1 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 65 using growth durability 64.9.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 0 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 71 using mean target upside -3.7%; dispersion penalty 0; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 0 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 6 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Mixed. fundamentals and analyst consensus provide support, while valuation and technical structure remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 106.8% above historical median. Valuation is rising — currently in the strongly overvalued zone (z-score: +5.71). Confidence: 82%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹29.00. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹702.67 to ₹835.20, with base value near ₹774.88 (-29.9% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹29.00
Forward P/E
38.1x
Base Fair Value
₹774.88
Fair Range
₹702.67 - ₹835.20
Upside To Base
-29.9%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+44.7%
5Y Average
24.20
Current
55.25
Overvalued
28.80
Undervalued
24.23
5Y Average
19.54
Current
44.62
Overvalued
22.75
Undervalued
16.24
5Y Average
7.27
Current
13.17
Overvalued
7.89
Undervalued
5.82
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Materials · Theme: Iron & Steel
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD JAIBALAJIIron & Steel | +9.8% | 2.2% | 46.3x Undervalued | -77% vs avg | -34.2% |
BANSAL WIRE INDUSTRIES L BANSALWIREIron & Steel | +24.4% | 3.2% | 36.0x Undervalued | -82% vs avg | -9.4% |
LLOYDS ENTERPRISES LTD LLOYDSENTIron & Steel | +47.1% | 16.1% | 46.0x Undervalued | -77% vs avg | +20.3% |
JAYASWAL NECO INDUSTR LTD JAYNECOINDIron & Steel | +27.7% | 7.4% | 15.9x Undervalued | -92% vs avg | +54.0% |
NAVA LIMITED NAVAIron & Steel | +12.2% | 18.3% | 20.8x Undervalued | -90% vs avg | -7.8% |
GODAWARI POW & ISP LTD GPILIron & Steel | +34.8% | 13.9% | 19.0x Undervalued | -91% vs avg | +19.6% |
GALLANTT ISPAT LIMITED GALLANTTIron & Steel | — | 11.1% | 30.5x Undervalued | -85% vs avg | -23.7% |
KIOCL LIMITED KIOCLIron & Steel | -10.6% | 2.7% | 1402.3x Premium | +594% vs avg | +16.8% |
SHIVALIK BIMETAL CON. LTD trades at a discount (51.7x vs peer avg 202.1x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Iron & Steel cohort. Peers include JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD, BANSAL WIRE INDUSTRIES L, LLOYDS ENTERPRISES LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹110 CrDec 2025Latest net profit
₹20 CrDec 2025Latest EPS
₹3.38Dec 2025Net margin
22.3%Dec 2025Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Dec 2025
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 110 | 113 | 112 | 112 | 112 | 107 | 110 | 106 | 114 | 117 | 118 | 110 |
| Expenses | 83.11 | 84.07 | 84.58 | 87.95 | 90.42 | 84.99 | 83.83 | 82.96 | 87.74 | 87.21 | 90.23 | 82.71 |
| Operating Profit | 24.78 | 26.56 | 25.36 | 21.6 | 18.74 | 19.88 | 23.34 | 20.75 | 23.92 | 26.74 | 25.34 | 24.51 |
| OPM % | 22.5% | 23.49% | 22.56% | 19.26% | 16.77% | 18.54% | 21.31% | 19.53% | 20.94% | 22.91% | 21.4% | 22.26% |
| Other Income | 1.62 | 1.34 | 2.31 | 1.38 | 15.36 | 2.65 | 3.1 | 3.37 | 3.27 | 2.13 | 3.72 | 2.98 |
| Interest | 1.59 | 1.13 | 1.11 | 1.12 | 1 | 0.78 | 0.68 | 0.66 | 0.79 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.94 |
| Depreciation | 2.24 | 2.44 | 2.45 | 2.62 | 2.61 | 2.35 | 2.38 | 2.51 | 2.56 | 2.75 | 2.85 | 2.91 |
| Profit before tax | 24.81 | 26.77 | 26.56 | 21.86 | 33.1 | 21.75 | 25.76 | 23.46 | 26.4 | 28.11 | 28.3 | 26.55 |
| Tax % | 23.82% | 24.43% | 25.9% | 27.17% | 23.56% | 25.06% | 25.27% | 25.28% | 26.06% | 25.4% | 25.19% | 24.18% |
| Net Profit | 18.9 | 20.23 | 19.68 | 15.92 | 25.3 | 16.3 | 19.25 | 17.53 | 19.52 | 20.97 | 21.17 | 20.13 |
| EPS in Rs | 3.28 | 3.51 | 3.38 | 2.76 | 4.40 | 2.83 | 3.29 | 3.04 | 3.41 | 3.64 | 3.63 | 3.38 |
All values in Rs. Crore unless otherwise stated. Source: CMIE Prowess, Quarterly Interim Standalone.