AI Summary
✦ ClarthaOswal Pumps is an industrial machinery company manufacturing solar pumps in India. Solar-powered and grid-connected submersible and monoblock pumps drive sales across agricultural, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Electric motors and solar modules add product breadth, while exports extend reach across multiple international markets. Revenue grew 44.3% year-on-year, but Q1 profit weakness signals pressure on near-term earnings conversion and margins. ROE is high at 35.1%, though declining margins and debt/equity of 14.11 indicate substantial leverage amplifies both returns and financial risk. Profit growth at 34.1% trails revenue growth, suggesting weaker operating leverage or higher financing costs. At 8.9 times earnings, the stock appears discounted versus its growth profile, following a 60% decline and recent Q1 selloff. The key open question is whether execution and IPO-funded expansion can restore margins without increasing leverage further.
Price Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 3 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 62 using EVA spread proxy 23.1%; growth durability 5.4.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 90 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 88 using mean target upside 48.4%; dispersion penalty 12.0; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 31 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 9 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. valuation and analyst consensus provide support, while technical structure remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 32.0% below historical median. Valuation is declining — currently in the strongly undervalued zone (z-score: -1.23). Confidence: 66%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹27.75. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹299.70 to ₹578.87, with base value near ₹359.92 (+17.5% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹27.75
Forward P/E
11.0x
Base Fair Value
₹359.92
Fair Range
₹299.70 - ₹578.87
Upside To Base
+17.5%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+34.9%
5Y Average
14.19
Current
8.82
Overvalued
20.86
Undervalued
10.80
5Y Average
10.57
Current
6.57
Overvalued
14.57
Undervalued
7.24
5Y Average
7.03
Current
1.97
Overvalued
5.20
Undervalued
2.41
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Industrials · Theme: Industrial Machinery
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KIRLOSKAR BROTHERS LTD KIRLOSBROSIndustrial Machinery | +12.9% | 8.0% | 41.3x Undervalued | -22% vs avg | +1.2% |
INGERSOLL-RAND INDIA LTD INGERRANDIndustrial Machinery | -3.7% | 18.4% | 53.2x Fair | 0% vs avg | +18.6% |
CYIENT DLM LIMITED CYIENTDLMIndustrial Machinery | +34.3% | 6.1% | 66.8x Premium | +26% vs avg | +59.5% |
LLOYDS ENGG WORK LIMITED LLOYDSENGGIndustrial Machinery | +113.4% | 14.6% | 64.0x Premium | +21% vs avg | +43.0% |
KSB LIMITED KSBIndustrial Machinery | +3.6% | 9.0% | 56.9x Fair | +7% vs avg | -1.4% |
KIRLOSKAR PNEUMATIC COM L KIRLPNUIndustrial Machinery | +7.6% | 14.5% | 36.7x Undervalued | -31% vs avg | +9.7% |
OSWAL PUMPS LIMITED trades at a discount (9.4x vs peer avg 53.1x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Industrial Machinery cohort. Peers include KIRLOSKAR BROTHERS LTD, INGERSOLL-RAND INDIA LTD, CYIENT DLM LIMITED — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹344 CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹22 CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹1.90Jun 2026Net margin
11.0%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 246 | 355 | 294 | 342 | 280 | 444 | 485 | 448 | 420 | 344 |
| Expenses + | 213 | 266 | 201 | 250 | 202 | 331 | 381 | 345 | 337 | 308 |
| Operating Profit | 33 | 90 | 94 | 91 | 78 | 113 | 105 | 103 | 82 | 36 |
| OPM % | 13% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 28% | 25% | 22% | 23% | 20% | 11% |
| Other Income + | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Interest | 5 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| Depreciation | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Profit before tax | 24 | 82 | 83 | 80 | 65 | 100 | 101 | 93 | 76 | 30 |
| Tax % | 18% | 25% | 27% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 18% | 27% |
| Net Profit + | 20 | 62 | 61 | 60 | 48 | 74 | 76 | 69 | 62 | 22 |
| EPS in Rs | 34.02 | 10.54 | 6.13 | 6.02 | 4.86 | 6.50 | 6.65 | 6.09 | 5.46 | 1.90 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Outcome
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Press Release / Media Release
Intimation Under Regulation 30(5) Of The SEBI (LODR Regulations), 2015