AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 30 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 24 using growth durability 23.7.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 77 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 59 using mean target upside 15.5%; dispersion penalty 21.0; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 48 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 6 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Mixed. valuation and market sentiment provide support, while fundamentals and technical structure remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 9.0% below historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the strongly undervalued zone (z-score: -0.61). Confidence: 83%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹93.50. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹1,450.18 to ₹1,733.49, with base value near ₹1,607.27 (+41.7% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹93.50
Forward P/E
12.1x
Base Fair Value
₹1,607.27
Fair Range
₹1,450.18 - ₹1,733.49
Upside To Base
+41.7%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
-39.3%
5Y Average
15.09
Current
15.65
Overvalued
18.54
Undervalued
15.51
5Y Average
7.53
Current
7.81
Overvalued
8.85
Undervalued
5.77
5Y Average
1.96
Current
1.74
Overvalued
2.25
Undervalued
1.67
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Utilities · Theme: Gas Distribution
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GUJARAT STATE PETRO LTD GSPLGas Distribution | -10.9% | 6.5% | 14.9x Undervalued | -97% vs avg | -19.6% |
GUJARAT ENERGY LIMITED GUJGASLTDGas Distribution | +21.1% | 8.5% | 961.9x Premium | +97% vs avg | -38.3% |
MAHANAGAR GAS LTD. trades at a discount (15.9x vs peer avg 488.4x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Gas Distribution cohort. Peers include GUJARAT STATE PETRO LTD, GUJARAT ENERGY LIMITED — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹2.37K CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹194 CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹19.61Jun 2026Net margin
14.0%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 1,538 | 1,571 | 1,569 | 1,567 | 1,590 | 1,786 | 1,758 | 1,963 | 2,081 | 2,049 | 2,058 | 2,051 | 2,372 |
| Expenses + | 1,017 | 1,092 | 1,120 | 1,173 | 1,171 | 1,373 | 1,443 | 1,568 | 1,581 | 1,711 | 1,706 | 1,791 | 2,029 |
| Operating Profit | 521 | 479 | 449 | 394 | 418 | 413 | 314 | 395 | 501 | 338 | 352 | 260 | 343 |
| OPM % | 34% | 30% | 29% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 18% | 20% | 24% | 16% | 17% | 13% | 14% |
| Other Income + | 39 | 44 | 48 | 45 | 40 | 47 | 46 | 42 | 32 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 |
| Interest | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| Depreciation | 62 | 66 | 68 | 78 | 72 | 84 | 79 | 95 | 96 | 104 | 103 | 106 | 109 |
| Profit before tax | 496 | 454 | 426 | 357 | 384 | 373 | 278 | 338 | 432 | 258 | 272 | 178 | 259 |
| Tax % | 26% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 23% | 19% | 28% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 25% |
| Net Profit + | 368 | 338 | 317 | 265 | 285 | 287 | 225 | 242 | 320 | 193 | 202 | 132 | 194 |
| EPS in Rs | 37.30 | 34.27 | 32.11 | 26.83 | 28.81 | 29.03 | 22.82 | 24.53 | 32.35 | 19.58 | 20.45 | 13.36 | 19.61 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Earnings Call Transcript
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation