M

Max Financial Services Limited

MFSLNSE
Market snapshot · 2026-08-11 05:08 UTC

1,475.70

₹-38.80 (-2.56%)

MARKET CAP

₹50.68K Cr

STOCK P/E

614.9x

52W HIGH

₹1,892.50

52W LOW

₹1,433.60

BOOK VALUE

₹79.70

EPS

₹2.40

ROE

1.63%

SECTOR

Financials

DEBT/EQUITY

12.67

VOLUME

7.32L

P/B RATIO

18.52x

PEG RATIO

Sector

Financials

Themes

InsuranceLife InsuranceVanguard Fund Portfolio
E
Earnings
₹1,849.30₹1,753.03₹1,656.75₹1,560.48₹1,464.20VolumeEEAug '25Sep '25Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26

AI Summary

✦ Clartha

Max Financial Services is an Indian life insurance company operating through Axis Max Life. Life insurance drives revenue through participating, nonparticipating, and linked products covering life, pension, and health benefits. Distribution spans agents, banks, brokers, and corporate channels, while treasury investments and advisory services support other income. Revenue grew 2.6% year-on-year, but profit fell 74.3%. The ₹35.29 crore GST demand against Axis Max Life adds regulatory uncertainty. Margin stability contrasts with a low 1.6% ROE, while 12.67 debt-to-equity indicates substantial leverage that amplifies pressure on shareholder returns. At 631 times earnings, the stock is materially overvalued relative to its modest growth and sharp profit decline. Investors need clearer evidence of Axis Max Life’s growth and value-of-new-business margins before reassessing valuation.

Forecast

Analyst targets, estimate history, and probabilistic forward ranges for MFSL.

25.00 analysts

Price Forecast

Current
₹1,476
High Target
₹2,250
▲ +52.5%
Median Target
₹2,050
▲ +38.9%
Low Target
₹1,765
▲ +19.6%
Now₹1,476High ₹2,250Median ₹2,050Low ₹1,765Aug '25Now12M Target
Price history (1Y)
Analyst target range
25 analysts

Probabilistic Range

Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.

Time horizonRange ()Probability
3M₹1,301 - ₹1,81180%
6M₹1,264 - ₹2,01880%
12M₹1,241 - ₹2,40680%
Realized vol: +25.8% · Drift: +19.1%

Revenue Forecast

₹ Cr
Mar '26Current₹17.0
Sep 2026 ETrend estimate range
High₹4.9Base₹4.5Low₹4.1
Jun '25: ₹3.0 · Sep '25: ₹3.0 · Dec '25: ₹3.0 · Mar '26: ₹17.0 · Sep '26: ₹4.5 · Dec '26: ₹4.5
Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Sep '26 EDec '26 E3.03.03.017.04.54.5
PastCurrentTrend estimate: Low / Base / High

EPS Forecast

₹ / share
Mar '26Current₹0.29
Sep 2026 ETrend estimate range
High₹-0.12Base₹-0.11Low₹-0.10
Jun '25: ₹-0.07 · Sep '25: ₹-0.10 · Dec '25: ₹0.05 · Mar '26: ₹0.29 · Sep '26: ₹-0.11 · Dec '26: ₹0.05
Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Sep '26 EDec '26 E-0.07-0.100.050.29-0.110.05
PastCurrentTrend estimate: Low / Base / High
Market Intelligence

Multi-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions

Overall Outlook
Neutral
56%
Analyst Consensus
Positive

From 25 analysts

Mean upside+38.2%

Fundamentals

Weakening

Fundamentals institutional score is 42 using EVA spread proxy -10.4%; growth durability 100.0.

Valuation

Premium valuation

Valuation institutional score is 35 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.

Analyst Consensus

Positive

Analyst View institutional score is 87 using mean target upside 38.2%; dispersion penalty 9.5; recommendation breadth from available consensus.

Technical Structure

Mixed Momentum

Technicals institutional score is 67 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.

Market Sentiment

Neutral backdrop

Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 9 recent ticker-linked news items.

Signal Summary

Market intelligence remains Neutral. analyst consensus and technical structure provide support, while fundamentals and valuation remain considerations.

Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.

Fundamentals WeakeningValuation Premium valuationAnalyst Consensus PositiveTechnical Structure Mixed MomentumMarket Sentiment Neutral backdrop

Key Data Points

Mean Target Price2,039 target
Mean Upside+38.2%
Technical Score67%
Fundamental Score43%
Data CoverageHigh

Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.

Valuation Metrics

Trading 28.7% above historical median. Valuation is rising — currently in the overvalued zone (z-score: +0.75). Confidence: 77%.

Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹15.68. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹6,520.84 to ₹10,366.36, with base value near ₹7,600.25 (+401.8% vs current price).

Forward Valuation Outlook

Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.

Below normalized range

Forward EPS

₹15.68

Forward P/E

96.6x

Base Fair Value

₹7,600.25

Fair Range

₹6,520.84 - ₹10,366.36

Upside To Base

+401.8%

Estimate Source

Live forward EPS

P/B
Strongly Overvalued

5Y Average

10.25

Current

19.00

Overvalued

11.79

Undervalued

8.71

P/E
Overvalued

5Y Average

375.33

Current

623.92

Overvalued

661.12

Undervalued

415.87

P/S
Strongly Overvalued

5Y Average

0.79

Current

1.09

Overvalued

0.91

Undervalued

0.67

Peers & Comparison

Sector: Financials · Theme: Insurance

Insurance Business Peers8 peers
Avg P/E: 46.9x
CompanyRev. GrowthMarginP/Evs Avg52W Perf.
+18.8%2.1%
71.4x
Premium
+52% vs avg
+1.0%
HDFC LIFE INS CO LTD
HDFCLIFEInsurance
+15.2%1.9%
59.1x
Premium
+26% vs avg
-29.5%
DR. REDDY S LABORATORIES
DRREDDYPharmaceuticals
-5.6%10.0%
29.5x
Undervalued
-37% vs avg
-5.0%
HINDALCO INDUSTRIES LTD
HINDALCOMetals - Aluminium
+32.1%5.5%
14.4x
Undervalued
-69% vs avg
+58.0%
BSE LIMITED
BSEStock Exchanges & Ratings
+64.0%48.9%
50.3x
Fair
+7% vs avg
+50.1%
+10.5%2.8%
46.2x
Fair
-1% vs avg
+23.4%
APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTER. L
APOLLOHOSPHospitals & Diagnostic Centres
+18.1%7.7%
66.2x
Premium
+41% vs avg
+23.2%
EICHER MOTORS LTD
EICHERMOTTrucks & Buses
+31.5%23.2%
38.0x
Undervalued
-19% vs avg
+41.7%
Insurance Theme Peers8 peers
Avg P/E: 45.7x
CompanyRev. GrowthMarginP/Evs Avg52W Perf.
+18.8%2.1%
71.4x
Premium
+56% vs avg
+1.0%
HDFC LIFE INS CO LTD
HDFCLIFEInsurance
+15.2%1.9%
59.1x
Premium
+29% vs avg
-29.5%
+10.9%8.8%
34.0x
Undervalued
-26% vs avg
-13.9%
ICICI PRU LIFE INS CO LTD
ICICIPRULIInsurance
-83.1%2.6%
42.7x
Fair
-7% vs avg
-18.8%
-1.3%18.3%
6.5x
Undervalued
-86% vs avg
-10.5%
GO DIGIT GENERAL INS LTD
GODIGITInsurance
+8.6%4.8%
49.7x
Fair
+9% vs avg
-24.7%
APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTER. L
APOLLOHOSPHospitals & Diagnostic Centres
+18.1%7.7%
66.2x
Premium
+45% vs avg
+23.2%
COFORGE LIMITED
COFORGEIT Services & Consulting
+49.9%9.6%
36.4x
Undervalued
-20% vs avg
+12.2%
WHY THESE PEERS

MAX FINANCIAL SERV LTD trades at a premium (631.0x vs peer avg 46.9x), implying higher growth or quality expectations from the Insurance cohort. Peers include SBI LIFE INSURANCE CO LTD, HDFC LIFE INS CO LTD, DR. REDDY S LABORATORIES — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.

Financials

Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.

Latest revenue

₹17 CrMar 2026

Latest net profit

₹10 CrMar 2026

Latest EPS

₹0.29Mar 2026

Net margin

71.0%Mar 2026

Performance

Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.

Rs crore + margin %
Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26-110.0%-55.0%0.0%55.0%110.0%-6.00 Cr0.00 Cr6.00 Cr12 Cr18 Cr
  • Revenue
  • Net income
  • Net margin %

Earnings

Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.

Rs crore + Rs/share
Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '260.00 Cr5.00 Cr10 Cr15 Cr20 Cr₹-0₹0₹0₹0₹0
  • Revenue
  • EPS

Revenue to profit conversion

Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.

Rs crore
RevenueExpensesDepreciationOperatingprofitOther incomeInterestProfitbefore taxTax & otherNet Profit0.00 Cr5.00 Cr10 Cr15 Cr20 Cr

Latest reported period: Mar 2026

Debt level and coverage

Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.

Rs crore
Annual view
Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026-2.50K Cr0.00 Cr2.50K Cr5.00K Cr7.50K Cr
  • Debt
  • Free cash flow
  • Cash & equivalents

Results

MetricMar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026
Sales +105665444433317
Expenses +8798866665665
Operating Profit2-2-2-2-4-2-2-2-2-2-3-312
OPM %21%-31%-38%-42%-85%-55%-61%-36%-64%-76%-110%-100%71%
Other Income +0000000000050
Interest0000000000000
Depreciation1100000000000
Profit before tax2-2-3-3-4-2-2-1-3-3-3212
Tax %-24%9%-3%-6%-7%12%-2%5%-2%0%0%0%15%
Net Profit +2-2-3-2-4-3-2-2-3-3-3210
EPS in Rs0.06-0.07-0.08-0.07-0.11-0.08-0.07-0.05-0.08-0.07-0.100.050.29
Raw PDF

All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).

Shareholding Pattern

HolderJun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Promoters +1.74%1.71%1.25%1.25%1.25%
FIIs +44.71%44.78%45.13%47.88%48.06%
DIIs +47.29%47.26%47.35%44.74%44.34%
Public +6.25%6.24%6.26%6.11%6.35%
Others0.01%0.01%0.01%0.02%
Jun 2026
Promoters +
FIIs +
DIIs +
Public +

Events Timeline

Annual Report FY26

FY2026PDFCompany Reports Open

Disclosure Under The Provisions Of Regulation 30 Of SEBI (LODR) Regulations, 2015 ('SEBI LODR') Regarding Axis Max Life Insurance Limited ('Axis Max Life'), The Material Subsidiary Of The Company

Aug 08, 2026PDFCompany Reports Open

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation

Aug 07, 2026PDFCompany Reports Open

Disclosure Under The Extant Provisions Of Regulation 30 Of SEBI (LODR) Regulations, 2015 ('SEBI LODR') Regarding Axis Max Life Insurance Limited ('Axis Max Life'), The Material Subsidiary Of The Company

Aug 04, 2026PDFCompany Reports Open

Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation

Aug 04, 2026PDFCompany Reports Open