AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 25 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 81 using EVA spread proxy 12.0%; growth durability 56.6.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 39 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 47 using mean target upside 5.1%; dispersion penalty 23.9; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 31 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is skewing constructive on impact and recency. Based on 10 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Neutral. fundamentals and market sentiment provide support, while valuation and analyst consensus remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 15.4% above historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the strongly overvalued zone (z-score: +1.06). Confidence: 77%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹169.40. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹4,370.52 to ₹5,696.92, with base value near ₹5,297.14 (+7.5% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹169.40
Forward P/E
29.1x
Base Fair Value
₹5,297.14
Fair Range
₹4,370.52 - ₹5,696.92
Upside To Base
+7.5%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+5.5%
5Y Average
20.89
Current
36.10
Overvalued
33.63
Undervalued
25.80
5Y Average
20.53
Current
35.47
Overvalued
31.56
Undervalued
8.81
5Y Average
7.98
Current
8.03
Overvalued
9.17
Undervalued
6.78
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Industrials · Theme: Industrial Machinery
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CUMMINS INDIA LTD CUMMINSINDIndustrial Machinery | +17.9% | 18.7% | 64.0x Fair | 0% vs avg | +43.1% |
HINDUSTAN AERONAUTICS LTD trades at a discount (36.1x vs peer avg 64.0x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Industrial Machinery cohort. Peers include CUMMINS INDIA LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹13.94K CrMar 2026Latest net profit
₹4.18K CrMar 2026Latest EPS
₹62.57Mar 2026Net margin
36.0%Mar 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Mar 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 12,495 | 3,915 | 5,636 | 6,061 | 14,769 | 4,348 | 5,977 | 6,957 | 13,700 | 4,819 | 6,628 | 7,699 | 13,943 |
| Expenses + | 9,252 | 3,036 | 4,107 | 4,627 | 8,872 | 3,354 | 4,346 | 5,276 | 8,408 | 3,535 | 5,071 | 5,830 | 8,885 |
| Operating Profit | 3,242 | 880 | 1,529 | 1,434 | 5,896 | 994 | 1,630 | 1,681 | 5,292 | 1,284 | 1,557 | 1,869 | 5,058 |
| OPM % | 26% | 22% | 27% | 24% | 40% | 23% | 27% | 24% | 39% | 27% | 23% | 24% | 36% |
| Other Income + | 722 | 411 | 471 | 460 | 557 | 738 | 550 | 631 | 653 | 749 | 889 | 914 | 1,152 |
| Interest | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Depreciation | 1,055 | 201 | 349 | 212 | 644 | 149 | 177 | 277 | 736 | 185 | 225 | 310 | 634 |
| Profit before tax | 2,854 | 1,089 | 1,650 | 1,681 | 5,778 | 1,582 | 2,003 | 2,035 | 5,200 | 1,848 | 2,220 | 2,472 | 5,572 |
| Tax % | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 9% | 26% | 30% | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Net Profit + | 2,841 | 814 | 1,235 | 1,254 | 4,292 | 1,436 | 1,490 | 1,433 | 3,958 | 1,377 | 1,663 | 1,852 | 4,184 |
| EPS in Rs | 42.48 | 12.17 | 18.47 | 18.74 | 64.18 | 21.47 | 22.28 | 21.42 | 59.19 | 20.59 | 24.86 | 27.69 | 62.57 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).