AI Summary
✦ ClarthaChennai Petroleum Corporation Limited is an Indian petroleum refining and marketing company. Its revenue base spans LPG, naphtha, gasoline, diesel, aviation turbine fuel, kerosene, and fuel oils. Lube products, bitumen, base stocks, waxes, sulphur, pet-coke, and petrochemical feedstocks add higher-value refinery outputs. The recent dividend announcement may improve shareholder returns, but does not directly establish margin expansion or volume growth. Profit growth surged 1,349.3% year-on-year, while revenue increased 7.2% and margins improved, indicating substantial earnings recovery. ROE is unavailable, while debt-to-equity of 17.68 implies extreme leverage and significant sensitivity of shareholder returns to financing costs. At 4.5 times earnings, the shares appear discounted versus typical market multiples, but the valuation reflects high balance-sheet risk and cyclical refining spreads. The key open question is whether improved profitability can persist without further leverage pressure.
Price Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 1 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 100 using growth durability 100.0.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 14 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 96 using mean target upside 24.2%; dispersion penalty 0; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 82 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is skewing constructive on impact and recency. Based on 1 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Supportive. fundamentals and analyst consensus provide support, while valuation remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 64.3% above historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the strongly overvalued zone (z-score: +2.41). Confidence: 50%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹401.00. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹914.28 to ₹1,239.09, with base value near ₹1,078.69 (-13.0% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹401.00
Forward P/E
3.1x
Base Fair Value
₹1,078.69
Fair Range
₹914.28 - ₹1,239.09
Upside To Base
-13.0%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
5Y Average
1.95
Current
4.42
Overvalued
3.09
Undervalued
2.28
5Y Average
1.36
Current
3.07
Overvalued
1.56
Undervalued
1.15
5Y Average
1.42
Current
1.66
Overvalued
1.63
Undervalued
1.20
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Energy · Theme: Oil & Gas - Refining & Marketing
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MRPL MRPLOil & Gas - Refining & Marketing | +120.4% | 2.9% | 9.1x Undervalued | -69% vs avg | +32.7% |
HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM CORP HINDPETROOil & Gas - Refining & Marketing | +26.9% | 0.4% | 50.0x Premium | +69% vs avg | -4.2% |
CHENNAI PETROLEUM CORP LT trades at a discount (4.4x vs peer avg 29.6x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Oil & Gas - Refining & Marketing cohort. Peers include MRPL, HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM CORP — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹27.37K CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹1.02K CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹68.27Jun 2026Net margin
6.0%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 14,745 | 16,545 | 17,376 | 17,720 | 17,095 | 12,087 | 12,925 | 17,249 | 14,812 | 16,327 | 15,683 | 16,817 | 27,369 |
| Expenses + | 13,795 | 14,740 | 16,696 | 16,678 | 16,432 | 12,761 | 12,683 | 16,464 | 14,714 | 15,183 | 14,205 | 14,781 | 25,814 |
| Operating Profit | 950 | 1,804 | 680 | 1,042 | 663 | -675 | 242 | 785 | 99 | 1,144 | 1,478 | 2,036 | 1,555 |
| OPM % | 6% | 11% | 3.9% | 6% | 3.9% | -6% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 6% |
| Other Income + | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 21 | 18 |
| Interest | 57 | 65 | 50 | 51 | 48 | 52 | 79 | 66 | 37 | 34 | 33 | 16 | 52 |
| Depreciation | 147 | 157 | 151 | 151 | 150 | 153 | 153 | 150 | 151 | 152 | 157 | 150 | 155 |
| Profit before tax | 747 | 1,588 | 481 | 844 | 470 | -857 | 14 | 582 | -80 | 994 | 1,317 | 1,890 | 1,366 |
| Tax % | 27% | 25% | 25% | 27% | 27% | -27% | 26% | 23% | -29% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 26% |
| Net Profit + | 548 | 1,191 | 360 | 612 | 343 | -629 | 10 | 450 | -57 | 732 | 987 | 1,400 | 1,017 |
| EPS in Rs | 36.82 | 79.95 | 24.17 | 41.12 | 23.01 | -42.27 | 0.70 | 30.22 | -3.80 | 49.13 | 66.30 | 94.00 | 68.27 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
INTIMATION FOR RESCHEDULING OF 60TH ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING OF THE COMPANY ON 26TH AUGUST 2026 (WEDNESDAY) AT 12:00 NOON (IST)