AI Summary
✦ ClarthaBlue Dart Express is an Indian courier and express-delivery company serving domestic and international shipments. Domestic Priority, Dart Apex, Dart Surfaceline, and Dart Plus drive time-definite delivery revenue across air and ground networks. Air freight, Smart Box packaging, and temperature-controlled logistics extend monetization across specialized shipment categories. Q1FY27 earnings-call disclosure improves access to management commentary, but offers no clear operating catalyst. Revenue grew 7.4% year-on-year, while profit declined 2.0%, indicating limited earnings conversion. Stable margins suggest cost control, but slower profit growth warrants scrutiny of pricing, volumes, and network utilization. ROE and debt-to-equity data are unavailable, limiting assessment of capital efficiency and leverage effects. At 42 times earnings, the shares appear overvalued relative to 7.4% growth, implying a premium to current expansion. The valuation is rich while investors await evidence that express volumes, air-freight demand, and specialized logistics can accelerate profit growth. Structural risks include competitive pricing and operating-cost inflation.
Price Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 5 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 91 using growth durability 90.8.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 97 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 57 using mean target upside 14.5%; dispersion penalty 17.5; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 50 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is skewing constructive on impact and recency. Based on 1 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Supportive. fundamentals and valuation provide support, while technical structure remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 19.1% below historical median. Valuation is declining — currently in the strongly undervalued zone (z-score: -1.35). Confidence: 85%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹184.37. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹8,648.80 to ₹10,649.21, with base value near ₹9,581.71 (+84.6% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹184.37
Forward P/E
28.1x
Base Fair Value
₹9,581.71
Fair Range
₹8,648.80 - ₹10,649.21
Upside To Base
+84.6%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
+189.1%
5Y Average
54.24
Current
42.02
Overvalued
57.76
Undervalued
46.91
5Y Average
8.28
Current
6.93
Overvalued
9.08
Undervalued
7.22
5Y Average
2.45
Current
1.94
Overvalued
2.82
Undervalued
2.08
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Industrials · Theme: Logistics
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INTL GEMOLOGICAL INST LTD IGILLogistics | +23.2% | 44.7% | 30.0x Undervalued | -62% vs avg | +7.6% |
PREMIER ENERGIES LIMITED PREMIERENELogistics | +37.7% | 19.7% | 31.1x Undervalued | -60% vs avg | +2.7% |
SHADOWFAX TECHNOLOGIES L SHADOWFAXLogistics | +64.9% | 3.6% | 85.7x Fair | +9% vs avg | +119.3% |
SHREEJI SHIPPING GLOBAL L SHREEJISPGLogistics | +20.5% | 21.5% | 67.9x Fair | -14% vs avg | +159.8% |
TRANSPORT CORPN OF INDIA TCILogistics | +9.6% | 9.0% | 15.8x Undervalued | -80% vs avg | -19.1% |
DELHIVERY LIMITED DELHIVERYLogistics | +27.8% | 0.8% | 240.4x Premium | +206% vs avg | +2.2% |
BLUE DART EXPRESS LTD trades at a discount (42.0x vs peer avg 78.5x), suggesting potential undervaluation relative to the Logistics cohort. Peers include INTL GEMOLOGICAL INST LTD, PREMIER ENERGIES LIMITED, SHADOWFAX TECHNOLOGIES L — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹1.66K CrJun 2026Latest net profit
₹87 CrJun 2026Latest EPS
₹36.53Jun 2026Net margin
10.0%Jun 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Jun 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 1,238 | 1,324 | 1,383 | 1,323 | 1,343 | 1,448 | 1,512 | 1,417 | 1,442 | 1,549 | 1,616 | 1,533 | 1,658 |
| Expenses + | 1,124 | 1,194 | 1,249 | 1,183 | 1,233 | 1,327 | 1,365 | 1,299 | 1,342 | 1,392 | 1,426 | 1,409 | 1,488 |
| Operating Profit | 113 | 130 | 134 | 139 | 109 | 122 | 146 | 118 | 100 | 157 | 190 | 125 | 170 |
| OPM % | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 8% | 10% |
| Other Income + | 16 | 15 | 23 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 | -25 | 18 | 22 |
| Interest | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
| Depreciation | 44 | 46 | 47 | 50 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 53 | 50 | 59 | 71 | 66 | 65 |
| Profit before tax | 80 | 95 | 105 | 102 | 69 | 82 | 106 | 78 | 63 | 107 | 81 | 65 | 116 |
| Tax % | 25% | 25% | 22% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 32% | 26% | 25% | 14% | 33% | 26% |
| Net Profit + | 60 | 71 | 82 | 76 | 52 | 61 | 79 | 53 | 47 | 80 | 70 | 43 | 87 |
| EPS in Rs | 25.18 | 30.04 | 34.37 | 32.05 | 21.72 | 25.61 | 33.34 | 22.43 | 19.78 | 33.50 | 29.52 | 18.21 | 36.53 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Earnings Call Transcript
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Outcome