AI Summary
✦ ClarthaPrice Forecast
Probabilistic Range
Probabilistic lognormal cone using 1Y realized volatility and analyst-target drift when available.
Revenue Forecast
₹ CrEPS Forecast
₹ / shareMulti-factor synthesis of 5 key dimensions
From 6 analysts
Fundamentals
Fundamentals institutional score is 29 using EVA spread proxy -2.5%; growth durability 22.3.
Valuation
Valuation institutional score is 33 using relative multiple z-scores where peer dispersion is available.
Analyst Consensus
Analyst View institutional score is 39 using mean target upside -3.0%; dispersion penalty 4.1; recommendation breadth from available consensus.
Technical Structure
Technicals institutional score is 61 using EMA-20 continuation within 5% tolerance; VCP range/volume contraction proxy.
Market Sentiment
Recent news flow is balanced or not decisive enough to tilt the tape. Based on 2 recent ticker-linked news items.
Signal Summary
Market intelligence remains Mixed. market sentiment provide support, while fundamentals and valuation remain considerations.
Composite weights: Fundamentals 25%, Valuation 20%, Analyst Consensus 20%, Technical Structure 20%, Market Sentiment 15%.
Key Data Points
Important Note: This is market intelligence, not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Valuation Metrics
Trading 33.8% above historical median. Valuation is stable — currently in the strongly overvalued zone (z-score: +1.94). Confidence: 84%.
Live forward EPS implies next-12-month EPS of ₹35.48. Applying the stock's normalized valuation corridor produces a fair range of ₹805.04 to ₹1,038.85, with base value near ₹904.74 (+38.1% vs current price).
Live forward estimate anchored to the company's historical valuation corridor.
Forward EPS
₹35.48
Forward P/E
18.5x
Base Fair Value
₹904.74
Fair Range
₹805.04 - ₹1,038.85
Upside To Base
+38.1%
Estimate Source
Live forward EPS
Growth Estimate
-30.7%
5Y Average
24.00
Current
34.13
Overvalued
29.28
Undervalued
22.69
5Y Average
15.04
Current
22.12
Overvalued
17.44
Undervalued
12.86
5Y Average
1.50
Current
2.21
Overvalued
1.73
Undervalued
1.28
Peers & Comparison
Sector: Consumer Staples · Theme: Sugar
| Company | Rev. Growth | Margin | P/E | vs Avg | 52W Perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EID PARRY INDIA LTD EIDPARRYSugar | +15.6% | 1.5% | 24.8x Undervalued | -24% vs avg | -29.9% |
PICCADILY AGRO INDUSTRI L PICCADILSugar | +40.9% | 13.3% | 54.2x Premium | +66% vs avg | +16.8% |
TRIVENI ENGG. & INDS. LTD TRIVENISugar | -1.1% | 4.3% | 19.2x Undervalued | -41% vs avg | -30.4% |
BALRAMPUR CHINI MILLS LTD trades in line with peers (35.3x vs avg 32.7x), reflecting a fair valuation within the Sugar cohort. Peers include EID PARRY INDIA LTD, PICCADILY AGRO INDUSTRI L, TRIVENI ENGG. & INDS. LTD — selected based on business model, industry classification, market cap similarity, and business theme alignment.
Financials
Real statement data for revenue, earnings quality, conversion, and balance-sheet coverage. Monetary values are shown in Rs crore.
Latest revenue
₹1.60K CrMar 2026Latest net profit
₹152 CrMar 2026Latest EPS
₹7.50Mar 2026Net margin
18.0%Mar 2026Performance
Bars show revenue and net profit. The line shows net margin.
- Revenue
- Net income
- Net margin %
Earnings
Revenue is shown in crores. EPS is rupees per share.
- Revenue
- EPS
Revenue to profit conversion
Bridge from operating numbers to profit for the latest reported period.
Latest reported period: Mar 2026
Debt level and coverage
Debt, cash and free cash flow compared on the same crore scale.
- Debt
- Free cash flow
- Cash & equivalents
Results
| Metric | Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales + | 1,492 | 1,390 | 1,539 | 1,230 | 1,434 | 1,422 | 1,298 | 1,192 | 1,504 | 1,542 | 1,671 | 1,454 | 1,604 |
| Expenses + | 1,087 | 1,226 | 1,375 | 1,117 | 1,090 | 1,255 | 1,249 | 1,068 | 1,138 | 1,408 | 1,550 | 1,252 | 1,319 |
| Operating Profit | 404 | 163 | 165 | 113 | 345 | 166 | 49 | 124 | 365 | 134 | 120 | 202 | 285 |
| OPM % | 27% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 24% | 12% | 3.8% | 10% | 24% | 9% | 7% | 14% | 18% |
| Other Income + | 16 | 12 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| Interest | 21 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 20 | 7 | 30 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 26 |
| Depreciation | 40 | 41 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 44 | 43 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 45 |
| Profit before tax | 359 | 101 | 145 | 83 | 281 | 95 | -6 | 80 | 301 | 63 | 71 | 163 | 227 |
| Tax % | 30% | 32% | 27% | 27% | 30% | 32% | -40% | 22% | 27% | 32% | 35% | 35% | 33% |
| Net Profit + | 251 | 69 | 106 | 60 | 197 | 65 | -4 | 63 | 220 | 43 | 46 | 107 | 152 |
| EPS in Rs | 12.43 | 3.44 | 5.27 | 2.99 | 9.78 | 3.20 | -0.17 | 3.11 | 10.90 | 2.13 | 2.28 | 5.28 | 7.50 |
| Raw PDF |
All values in ₹ Crores unless otherwise stated. Source: Screener Master (Standalone).
Events Timeline
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Analyst / Investor Meet - Intimation
Board Meeting Intimation for Consideration And Approval Of Unaudited Financial Results (Standalone & Consolidated) For The Quarter Ended 30Th June, 2026
Announcement under Regulation 30 (LODR)-Allotment of ESOP / ESPS